Region 9 home page
Region 9 projections
Region 9 playoff probabilities
Region 9 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 9 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#23 of 104 in Division 3
#9 of 27 in Region 9
Strength of schedule #15 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #25 in D3 (+145 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 26-9 A #258 Solon (1-1) D1 R1, pick: W by 18 (80%), perf. rating 142
08/28 L 45-12 H #25 Perry (2-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 21 (15%), perf. rating 115
09/04 A #171 Notre Dame-Cath. Latin (1-1) D3 R9, pick: W by 2 (54%)
09/10 H #144 Copley (2-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/18 A #80 Brecksville-Broadvw Hts (1-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 15 (17%)
09/25 A #281 Twinsburg (0-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 16 (85%)
10/02 H #189 Aurora (1-1) D3 R9, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/09 H #143 Mayfield (2-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/16 A #295 Revere (1-1) D3 R10, pick: W by 19 (89%)
10/23 H #371 Barberton (1-1) D2 R5, pick: W by 29 (97%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
4.80 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#8 seed in R9 playoffs
Playoff chances now
58% (likely needs 6-4), 43% home (likely needs 7-3), 22% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.74 ( 1.37- 8.01) 79% in, 64% home, 37% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 47%
Lose: 3.84 ( 0.71- 7.06) 32% in, 17% home, 4% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 14%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 9%) 9W: 7.64 ( 7.33- 8.01) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(16%) 8W: 6.64 ( 6.22- 7.22) 100% home, 78% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 78%
(19%) 7W: 5.73 ( 5.25- 6.31) 99% in, 87% home, 5% bye, proj. #7 (#3-out), Ursuline (1-1) 7%
(16%) 6W: 4.80 ( 4.38- 5.32) 81% in, 8% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Gilmour Academy (1-1) 8%
(15%) 5W: 3.94 ( 3.54- 4.41) 4% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(12%) 4W: 3.06 ( 2.64- 3.66) out, proj. out
( 8%) 3W: 2.23 ( 1.98- 2.62) out, proj. out
( 3%) 2W: 1.49 ( 1.37- 1.82) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 9%) WWWWWWWW: 7.63 ( 7.33- 8.01) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 9%) WWLWWWWW: 6.62 ( 6.33- 7.06) 100% home, 77% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#7), bye 77%
( 4%) LWLWWWWW: 5.82 ( 5.63- 6.12) 100% in, 91% home, 6% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#11), Chardon (1-1) 7%
( 4%) WLLWWWWW: 5.67 ( 5.28- 6.08) 99% in, 84% home, 3% bye, proj. #7 (#3-out), University School (2-0) 10%
( 4%) WWLWWLWW: 5.57 ( 5.33- 5.96) 100% in, 85% home, 4% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#12), Ursuline (1-1) 8%
( 3%) LLLWWWWW: 4.85 ( 4.62- 5.21) 86% in, 8% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Gilmour Academy (1-1) 10%
( 2%) LWLWWLWW: 4.80 ( 4.61- 5.11) 83% in, 9% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Madison (1-1) 10%
( 2%) LLLLLLWW: 2.23 ( 2.10- 2.46) out
Weekly summary info
Week 2 (1-1, 130.4, #149, D3 #23), 56% (bubble if 6-4), 40% home (maybe if 7-3), 22% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 132.6, #137, D3 #19), 52% (bubble if 5-5), 39% home (maybe if 6-4), 24% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 130.5, #148, D3 #24), 46% (bubble if 6-4), 33% home (maybe if 7-3), 19% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 127.0