Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

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Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#133 Cleveland Heights Tigers (0-0) 133.3

Updated Fri 14-Aug-2026 12:23 PM
Week 0 complete

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Rankings
#43 of 80 in Division 1
#10 of 19 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #57 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #5 in D1 (0 WP+)

Schedule and results
08/21 H #19 Wadsworth (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 28 (10%)
08/28 A #105 Chardon (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 6 (38%)
09/05 N #217 GlenOak (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 15 (80%)
09/11 A #92 Strongsville (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 9 (30%)
09/18 H #290 Lorain (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 25 (94%)
09/25 A #17 Mentor (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/02 H #116 Riverside (Painesville) (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/09 A #231 Euclid (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 15 (84%)
10/16 A #155 Brunswick (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 2 (55%)
10/23 H #307 Shaker Heights (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 26 (96%)

Regular season projections
5-5 record
11.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#8 seed in R1 playoffs

Playoff chances now
73% (bubble if 3-7), 45% home (maybe if 5-5), 14% bye (maybe if 8-2)

Depending on the next game
Win: 21.28 ( 1.90-40.25) 98% in, 83% home, 44% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 45%
Lose: 10.35 ( 0.00-37.80) 70% in, 41% home, 10% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 15%

Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 32.65 (23.15-40.25) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 4%) 9W: 27.40 (19.90-37.80) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 92%
( 9%) 8W: 22.60 (15.15-31.25) 100% in, 99% home, 60% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 60%
(13%) 7W: 18.25 (12.40-25.70) 100% in, 96% home, 19% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#11), bye 19%
(15%) 6W: 14.40 ( 9.30-23.05) 99% in, 77% home, 4% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), St Ignatius (0-0) 9%
(15%) 5W: 11.00 ( 6.65-19.50) 98% in, 35% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Berea-Midpark (0-0) 9%
(14%) 4W: 8.15 ( 4.25-17.05) 77% in, 7% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Berea-Midpark (0-0) 10%
(12%) 3W: 5.55 ( 2.45-12.85) 33% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Hudson (0-0) 13%
( 8%) 2W: 3.15 ( 1.20-10.00) 6% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Canton McKinley (0-0) 17%
( 5%) 1W: 1.25 ( 0.60- 6.35) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out

Most likely first round opponents
Strongsville (0-0) 7%
Brunswick (0-0) 7%
Berea-Midpark (0-0) 6%
St Ignatius (0-0) 6%

Most likely second round opponents
Mentor (0-0) 16%
St Edward (0-0) 15%
Austintown-Fitch (0-0) 14%
Canton McKinley (0-0) 11%
Hudson (0-0) 10%

Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 133.3, #133, D1 #43), 73% (bubble if 3-7), 45% home (maybe if 5-5), 14% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 5-5
Last season 131.3