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Rankings
#23 of 100 in Division 2
#8 of 24 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #69 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #21 in D2 (+114 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 55-10 H #476 Elyria (0-8) D1 R1, pick: W by 23 (85%), perf. rating 145
08/28 W 31-13 A #296 Elyria Catholic (3-5) D3 R10, pick: W by 11 (71%), perf. rating 139
09/04 W 43-13 A #428 Shaker Heights (1-7) D2 R5, pick: W by 16 (81%), perf. rating 136
09/10 W 40-0 H #260 Aurora (3-5) D3 R9, pick: W by 22 (90%), perf. rating 172
09/18 W 35-3 H #374 Barberton (2-6) D2 R5, pick: W by 30 (97%), perf. rating 144
09/25 W 21-7 A #174 Brecksville-Broadvw Hts (4-4) D2 R5, pick: W by 7 (67%), perf. rating 149
10/02 W 33-10 H #246 Revere (5-3) D3 R10, pick: W by 29 (97%), perf. rating 148
10/09 W 7-3 A #177 Kenston (4-4) D3 R9, pick: W by 17 (87%), perf. rating 134
10/16 A #163 Copley (6-2) D3 R10, pick: W by 11 (77%)
10/23 H #335 Twinsburg (1-7) D2 R5, pick: W by 31 (98%)
Regular season projections
10-0 record
26.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#5 seed in R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 23% bye (maybe if 10-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 26.15 (24.35-28.05) 100% home, 29% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#6), North Royalton (3-5) 34%
Lose: 21.60 (19.75-23.45) 100% in, 99% home, proj. #7 (#5-#9), Brush (5-3) 32%
Based on eventual number of wins
(76%) 10W: 26.15 (26.05-28.05) 100% home, 30% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#6), North Royalton (3-5) 34%
(24%) 9W: 21.65 (21.50-26.20) 100% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#8), Brush (5-3) 32%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(76%) WW: 26.15 (26.05-28.05) 100% home, 30% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#6), North Royalton (3-5) 34%
( 2%) WL: 24.95 (24.35-26.20) 100% home, 16% bye, proj. #5 (#4-#6), North Royalton (3-5) 34%
(22%) LW: 21.65 (21.50-23.45) 100% home, proj. #7 (#5-#8), Brush (5-3) 33%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (7-0, 144.1, #75, D2 #20), appears locked in, 94% home (likely needs 9-1), 32% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #5 at 10-0
Week 6 (6-0, 146.3, #67, D2 #19), appears locked in, 97% home (maybe if 8-2), 43% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #5 at 10-0
Week 5 (5-0, 142.7, #85, D2 #24), likely in, 89% home (maybe if 8-2), 25% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #8 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 140.4, #95, D2 #28), 98% (bubble if 6-4), 76% home (maybe if 8-2), 37% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #6 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 134.1, #126, D2 #37), 89% (bubble if 6-4), 59% home (maybe if 8-2), 22% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #8 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 131.2, #143, D2 #43), 78% (bubble if 6-4), 43% home (maybe if 8-2), 13% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #12 at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 128.1, #165, D2 #47), 64% (bubble if 5-5), 41% home (maybe if 7-3), 15% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 118.6, #216, D2 #53), 45% (bubble if 5-5), 25% home (maybe if 7-3), 8% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 119.3