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Region 19 playoff probabilities
Region 19 seeding probabilities
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Team history page
Rankings
#90 of 106 in Division 5
#23 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #94 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #82 in D5 (-472 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 34-13 H #472 Rock Hill (3-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 21 (17%), perf. rating 49
08/29 W 21-14 A #631 Chesapeake (0-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 2 (54%), perf. rating 67
09/05 L 48-42 H #533 Eastern (Beaver) (4-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 21 (12%), perf. rating 63
09/12 W 29-6 A #676 Oak Hill (0-4) D5 R19, pick: W by 16 (83%), perf. rating 71
09/19 A #544 Northwest (McDermott) (2-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 13 (21%)
09/26 A #477 Portsmouth West (1-3) D6 R24, pick: L by 22 (8%)
10/03 A #511 Waverly (0-4) D4 R15, pick: L by 19 (11%)
10/10 H #577 Meigs (1-3) D5 R19, pick: L by 3 (42%)
10/17 H #94 Wheelersburg (4-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/24 H #376 Valley (4-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 30 (2%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
3.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.45 ( 2.65-13.90) 3% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out)
Lose: 1.75 ( 0.85-14.55) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 6W: 9.55 ( 7.65-14.00) 13% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 6%) 5W: 7.25 ( 5.35-11.40) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(16%) 4W: 5.30 ( 3.20- 9.55) out, proj. out
(33%) 3W: 3.15 ( 1.80- 6.95) out, proj. out
(42%) 2W: 1.20 ( 0.85- 4.00) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) WLWWLL: 7.25 ( 5.40- 9.45) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Columbus Academy (2-2) 100%
( 2%) WWLWLL: 7.20 ( 5.75- 8.95) out
( 7%) WLLWLL: 5.45 ( 4.05- 7.70) out
( 4%) LLWWLL: 4.55 ( 3.20- 6.70) out
( 6%) WLLLLL: 3.50 ( 2.65- 5.35) out
(20%) LLLWLL: 3.15 ( 1.80- 5.50) out
( 3%) LLWLLL: 2.60 ( 1.80- 5.35) out
(42%) LLLLLL: 1.20 ( 0.85- 4.00) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 61.2, #598, D5 #90), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 59.3, #608, D5 #92), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 53.7, #625, D5 #96), 1% (must have at least 6-4 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 49.9, #642, D5 #99), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 52.5, #635, D5 #97), 4% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Last season 43.8