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Rankings
#92 of 107 in Division 6
#21 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #62 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #93 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #510 Rock Hill (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 23 (15%)
08/28 H #602 Chesapeake (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 5 (40%)
09/04 A #450 Eastern (Beaver) (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 30 (5%)
09/11 H #653 Oak Hill (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 11 (74%)
09/18 H #454 Northwest (McDermott) (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 27 (5%)
09/25 H #415 Portsmouth West (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 30 (3%)
10/02 H #505 Waverly (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 22 (8%)
10/09 A #553 Meigs (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 18 (12%)
10/16 A #67 Wheelersburg (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/23 A #433 Valley (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 32 (2%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
2.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
10% (bubble if 5-5), 3% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.60 ( 0.40-23.75) 33% in, 14% home, 4% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 11%
Lose: 1.85 ( 0.00-22.10) 6% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Anna (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 18.70 (14.25-23.75) 100% in, 99% home, 70% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 70%
( 1%) 8W: 15.65 ( 9.80-21.70) 100% in, 87% home, 25% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#12), bye 25%
( 2%) 7W: 12.80 ( 8.05-17.55) 97% in, 49% home, 4% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Zane Trace (0-0) 8%
( 4%) 6W: 10.35 ( 5.35-15.70) 76% in, 16% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Anna (0-0) 9%
( 7%) 5W: 8.00 ( 3.00-13.70) 31% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Zane Trace (0-0) 10%
( 9%) 4W: 6.00 ( 2.10-11.10) 7% in, proj. out (#9-out), Tri-Village (0-0) 11%
(15%) 3W: 4.05 ( 1.30- 9.20) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(21%) 2W: 2.45 ( 0.80- 7.00) out, proj. out
(24%) 1W: 0.90 ( 0.40- 4.65) out, proj. out
(17%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 8%
Anna (0-0) 7%
Zane Trace (0-0) 7%
Northeastern (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Cincinnati College Prep (0-0) 15%
Tri-Village (0-0) 13%
St Henry (0-0) 10%
Mechanicsburg (0-0) 10%
Zane Trace (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 54.4, #624, D6 #92), 10% (bubble if 5-5), 3% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 58.6