Region 4 home page
Region 4 projections
Region 4 playoff probabilities
Region 4 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 4 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#63 of 72 in Division 1
#16 of 18 in Region 4
Strength of schedule #10 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #48 in D1 (-232 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 42-0 A #40 La Salle (3-1) D2 R8, pick: L by 37 (4%), perf. rating 96
08/29 L 32-2 H #12 Princeton (3-1) D1 R4, pick: L by 37 (3%), perf. rating 129
09/05 L 38-0 A #97 Fairfield (2-2) D1 R4, pick: L by 20 (13%), perf. rating 87
09/12 L 31-0 A #56 Middletown (4-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 35 (2%), perf. rating 106
09/19 H #132 Oak Hills (1-3) D1 R4, pick: L by 24 (7%)
09/26 H #300 Sycamore (0-4) D1 R4, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/03 H #21 Lakota West (2-2) D1 R4, pick: L by 41 (1%)
10/10 A #51 Lakota East (3-1) D1 R4, pick: L by 34 (1%)
10/17 H #78 Mason (2-2) D1 R4, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/24 A #88 Hamilton (1-3) D1 R4, pick: L by 31 (2%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
0.65 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R4 playoffs
Playoff chances now
2% (bubble if 3-7), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.55 ( 1.25-14.90) 16% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Lakota West (2-2) 20%
Lose: 0.65 ( 0.00-12.35) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out), Winton Woods (3-1) 27%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 3W: 6.45 ( 4.50- 9.10) 79% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Winton Woods (3-1) 26%
(10%) 2W: 3.25 ( 1.95- 8.45) 8% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(46%) 1W: 0.65 ( 0.65- 5.20) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(42%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) LWLLWL: 3.90 ( 3.25- 5.85) 6% in, proj. out (#10-out), Winton Woods (3-1) 31%
( 2%) LWLLLW: 2.60 ( 1.95- 6.50) 4% in, proj. out (#12-out), Winton Woods (3-1) 38%
( 1%) LLLLWL: 2.60 ( 1.95- 5.20) 7% in, proj. out (#11-out), Winton Woods (3-1) 44%
( 4%) WWLLLL: 2.55 ( 2.55- 4.50) 3% in, proj. out (#12-out), Lakota West (2-2) 33%
( 1%) LLLLLW: 1.95 ( 1.30- 3.90) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Lakota East (3-1) 100%
( 2%) WLLLLL: 1.90 ( 1.25- 3.20) out
(41%) LWLLLL: 0.65 ( 0.65- 2.60) out
(42%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 107.9, #310, D1 #63), 2% (bubble if 3-7), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 3 (0-3, 105.7, #334, D1 #64), 3% (bubble if 3-7), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 114.9, #260, D1 #58), 13% (bubble if 3-7), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 114.5, #256, D1 #58), 15% (bubble if 3-7), 2% home, proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 117.2, #226, D1 #62), 22% (bubble if 3-7), 6% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 1-9
Last season 116.6