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Rankings
#65 of 80 in Division 1
#16 of 21 in Region 4
Strength of schedule #11 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #61 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #36 La Salle (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 33 (7%)
08/28 H #73 Hamilton (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 27 (9%)
09/04 A #24 Princeton (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 39 (1%)
09/11 H #101 Fairfield (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 23 (9%)
09/18 H #33 Middletown (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 33 (2%)
09/25 A #115 Oak Hills (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/02 A #358 Sycamore (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/09 A #25 Lakota West (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 39 (1%)
10/16 H #46 Lakota East (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/23 A #83 Mason (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 27 (4%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
0.65 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R4 playoffs
Playoff chances now
10% (bubble if 4-6), 3% home (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.15 ( 0.60-35.35) 38% in, 16% home, 4% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 12%
Lose: 1.95 ( 0.00-31.80) 8% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Elder (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 8W: 24.60 (20.70-30.15) 100% home, 56% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 56%
( 1%) 7W: 20.15 (15.45-28.55) 100% in, 92% home, 18% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#10), bye 18%
( 2%) 6W: 16.15 (11.60-22.70) 99% in, 50% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-out), Elder (0-0) 11%
( 4%) 5W: 12.05 ( 7.75-18.80) 85% in, 8% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Elder (0-0) 11%
( 7%) 4W: 8.45 ( 4.50-15.25) 33% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Elder (0-0) 13%
(13%) 3W: 5.80 ( 3.10-12.35) 4% in, proj. out (#10-out), St Xavier (0-0) 15%
(21%) 2W: 3.20 ( 1.25-10.40) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(29%) 1W: 0.65 ( 0.60- 6.50) out, proj. out
(22%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Elder (0-0) 10%
St Xavier (0-0) 7%
Winton Woods (0-0) 7%
Middletown (0-0) 7%
Lebanon (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Archbishop Moeller (0-0) 13%
St Xavier (0-0) 12%
Lakota West (0-0) 11%
Princeton (0-0) 10%
Winton Woods (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 113.3, #258, D1 #65), 10% (bubble if 4-6), 3% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 1-9
Last season 112.9