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Rankings
#41 of 80 in Division 1
#14 of 21 in Region 4
Strength of schedule #29 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #72 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #197 Edgewood (Trenton) (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 16 (77%)
08/28 A #101 Fairfield (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 5 (40%)
09/04 H #46 Lakota East (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 15 (20%)
09/11 A #33 Middletown (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 22 (10%)
09/18 A #83 Mason (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 9 (29%)
09/25 H #258 Colerain (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/02 A #73 Hamilton (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 12 (22%)
10/09 H #358 Sycamore (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 30 (98%)
10/16 A #24 Princeton (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/23 H #25 Lakota West (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 25 (5%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
8.35 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R4 playoffs
Playoff chances now
49% (bubble if 4-6), 25% home (maybe if 6-4), 8% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.50 ( 0.60-37.45) 59% in, 30% home, 10% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 18%
Lose: 3.90 ( 0.00-31.20) 18% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Elder (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 33.70 (30.40-37.45) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 4%) 9W: 28.15 (24.45-33.70) 100% home, 94% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 94%
( 7%) 8W: 23.25 (18.80-31.15) 100% in, 99% home, 41% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#9), bye 41%
(10%) 7W: 18.75 (14.25-27.85) 100% in, 83% home, 5% bye, proj. #7 (#2-#12), Lebanon (0-0) 9%
(12%) 6W: 14.80 (10.35-25.50) 98% in, 33% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Elder (0-0) 11%
(14%) 5W: 11.25 ( 7.10-19.30) 75% in, 4% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Elder (0-0) 11%
(16%) 4W: 8.35 ( 4.50-17.35) 27% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Elder (0-0) 12%
(16%) 3W: 5.50 ( 2.55-14.75) 4% in, proj. out (#9-out), Middletown (0-0) 11%
(12%) 2W: 3.25 ( 1.25-10.85) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 6%) 1W: 1.25 ( 0.60- 6.50) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Elder (0-0) 8%
Lebanon (0-0) 6%
Middletown (0-0) 6%
St Xavier (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Archbishop Moeller (0-0) 12%
Winton Woods (0-0) 11%
St Xavier (0-0) 11%
Lakota West (0-0) 11%
Princeton (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 136.1, #115, D1 #41), 49% (bubble if 4-6), 25% home (maybe if 6-4), 8% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 137.7