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Rankings
#29 of 80 in Division 1
#10 of 21 in Region 4
Strength of schedule #20 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #64 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #60 Badin (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 5 (41%)
08/28 A #258 Colerain (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 27 (91%)
09/04 H #358 Sycamore (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 35 (97%)
09/11 A #25 Lakota West (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 21 (11%)
09/18 H #46 Lakota East (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 5 (38%)
09/25 A #83 Mason (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/02 H #115 Oak Hills (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 12 (78%)
10/09 H #24 Princeton (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 18 (12%)
10/16 A #101 Fairfield (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 5 (63%)
10/23 H #33 Middletown (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 10 (26%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
11.65 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#11 seed in R4 playoffs
Playoff chances now
63% (bubble if 4-6), 37% home (maybe if 6-4), 16% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 18.90 ( 1.80-38.05) 86% in, 61% home, 31% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 35%
Lose: 8.45 ( 0.00-33.05) 47% in, 21% home, 6% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 10W: 34.50 (31.05-38.05) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 7%) 9W: 29.25 (24.00-35.50) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 97%
(10%) 8W: 24.60 (18.80-31.60) 100% in, 99% home, 56% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 56%
(12%) 7W: 19.90 (15.35-26.65) 100% in, 91% home, 8% bye, proj. #7 (#1-#11), Lebanon (0-0) 9%
(14%) 6W: 15.55 (10.90-23.35) 99% in, 43% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Elder (0-0) 11%
(15%) 5W: 11.65 ( 7.65-19.45) 86% in, 5% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Elder (0-0) 11%
(14%) 4W: 8.40 ( 4.50-16.25) 32% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Winton Woods (0-0) 10%
(13%) 3W: 5.20 ( 3.55-11.65) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 8%) 2W: 2.60 ( 1.80- 9.10) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 4%) 1W: 0.65 ( 0.65- 5.85) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Elder (0-0) 7%
Lebanon (0-0) 6%
Middletown (0-0) 5%
St Xavier (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
St Xavier (0-0) 12%
Archbishop Moeller (0-0) 11%
Winton Woods (0-0) 10%
Princeton (0-0) 10%
Lakota West (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 145.7, #73, D1 #29), 63% (bubble if 4-6), 37% home (maybe if 6-4), 16% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #11 at 5-5
Last season 140.8