Region 4 home page
Region 4 projections
Region 4 playoff probabilities
Region 4 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 4 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#38 of 80 in Division 1
#12 of 21 in Region 4
Strength of schedule #15 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #63 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #42 Wayne (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 13 (28%)
08/28 H #115 Oak Hills (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 5 (60%)
09/04 H #33 Middletown (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 17 (17%)
09/11 A #258 Colerain (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 23 (91%)
09/18 A #358 Sycamore (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 30 (97%)
09/25 A #25 Lakota West (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 26 (5%)
10/02 H #46 Lakota East (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 12 (22%)
10/09 A #83 Mason (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 6 (35%)
10/16 H #73 Hamilton (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 5 (37%)
10/23 A #24 Princeton (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 26 (4%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
8.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R4 playoffs
Playoff chances now
51% (bubble if 4-6), 27% home (maybe if 6-4), 9% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.45 ( 1.30-38.25) 80% in, 54% home, 23% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 29%
Lose: 7.15 ( 0.00-33.05) 39% in, 16% home, 4% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 34.35 (30.55-38.25) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 4%) 9W: 29.15 (24.65-34.45) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 96%
( 7%) 8W: 24.05 (18.85-30.50) 100% home, 51% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 51%
(10%) 7W: 20.00 (14.30-27.25) 100% in, 90% home, 10% bye, proj. #7 (#2-#12), bye 10%
(12%) 6W: 15.55 (10.40-25.35) 99% in, 45% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Elder (0-0) 10%
(14%) 5W: 11.65 ( 7.15-20.15) 86% in, 5% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Elder (0-0) 11%
(15%) 4W: 8.40 ( 4.55-18.15) 29% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Archbishop Moeller (0-0) 10%
(15%) 3W: 5.20 ( 2.60-14.25) 3% in, proj. out (#9-out), Princeton (0-0) 11%
(12%) 2W: 2.60 ( 1.30- 9.70) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 7%) 1W: 0.65 ( 0.65- 6.50) out, proj. out
( 3%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Elder (0-0) 8%
Lebanon (0-0) 7%
Springboro (0-0) 6%
Middletown (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Archbishop Moeller (0-0) 13%
St Xavier (0-0) 11%
Winton Woods (0-0) 11%
Princeton (0-0) 10%
Lakota West (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 138.8, #101, D1 #38), 51% (bubble if 4-6), 27% home (maybe if 6-4), 9% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 142.6