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Rankings
#72 of 80 in Division 1
#19 of 21 in Region 4
Strength of schedule #9 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #75 in D1 (-740 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 34-6 A #108 Kings (2-1) D2 R8, pick: L by 38 (4%), perf. rating 97
08/28 L 43-24 H #139 Mason (1-2) D1 R4, pick: L by 23 (12%), perf. rating 101
09/04 L 31-21 A #256 Hamilton (1-2) D1 R4, pick: L by 19 (14%), perf. rating 102
09/11 A #12 Princeton (3-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 49 (1%)
09/18 H #116 Fairfield (1-2) D1 R4, pick: L by 28 (4%)
09/25 A #64 Middletown (1-2) D1 R4, pick: L by 36 (1%)
10/02 H #109 Colerain (1-2) D1 R4, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/09 A #48 Oak Hills (2-1) D1 R4, pick: L by 39 (1%)
10/16 H #5 Lakota West (3-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/23 A #40 Lakota East (2-1) D1 R4, pick: L by 41 (1%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R4 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.85 ( 3.90-17.55) 4% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00-13.00) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 2W: 5.20 ( 2.60-10.40) out, proj. out
(14%) 1W: 2.60 ( 1.30- 6.50) out, proj. out
(84%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLLLLWL: 5.85 ( 3.90- 6.50) out
( 1%) WLLLLLL: 5.85 ( 3.90- 6.50) out
( 1%) LLLLLLW: 4.55 ( 2.60- 5.85) out
( 1%) LLLLWLL: 3.85 ( 1.90- 5.80) out
( 2%) LLWLLLL: 2.60 ( 1.30- 4.55) out
( 4%) LLLWLLL: 1.95 ( 1.30- 4.55) out
( 4%) LWLLLLL: 1.95 ( 1.30- 4.55) out
(84%) LLLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (0-3, 100.9, #360, D1 #72), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 100.0, #362, D1 #75), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 1 (0-1, 103.6, #340, D1 #75), 2% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 0-10
Week 0 (0-0, 101.2, #358, D1 #74), 4% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Last season 98.8