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Rankings
#1 of 104 in Division 7
#1 of 26 in Region 28
Strength of schedule #1 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #1 in D7 (+975 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 34-7 H #209 Carey (0-2) D6 R22, pick: W by 31 (92%), perf. rating 160
08/28 W 54-28 A #117 Harvest Prep (0-2) D6 R23, pick: W by 18 (82%), perf. rating 176
09/04 H #321 St Johns (1-1) D7 R26, pick: W by 42 (99%)
09/11 A #119 Versailles (2-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 25 (93%)
09/18 H #173 Anna (1-1) D6 R24, pick: W by 32 (98%)
09/25 A #167 St Henry (0-2) D6 R24, pick: W by 29 (97%)
10/02 H #368 Fort Recovery (1-1) D7 R28, pick: W by 44 (99%)
10/09 A #113 New Bremen (2-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/16 H #129 Minster (2-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 28 (97%)
10/23 A #59 Coldwater (2-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 14 (82%)
Regular season projections
10-0 record
5.98 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#1 seed in R28 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 98% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.88 ( 2.12- 6.23) 100% in, 99% home, 98% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#10), bye 98%
Based on eventual number of wins
(56%) 10W: 5.98 ( 5.64- 6.23) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(29%) 9W: 5.24 ( 4.86- 5.69) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(10%) 8W: 4.57 ( 4.28- 4.99) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 98%
( 3%) 7W: 3.93 ( 3.64- 4.25) 100% home, 71% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#8), bye 71%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(56%) WWWWWWWW: 5.98 ( 5.64- 6.23) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
( 3%) WWWWWWLW: 5.33 ( 5.13- 5.53) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 5%) WWWWWLWW: 5.32 ( 5.07- 5.58) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 3%) WLWWWWWW: 5.25 ( 5.01- 5.47) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(14%) WWWWWWWL: 5.17 ( 4.86- 5.47) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 2%) WWWWWLWL: 4.55 ( 4.38- 4.79) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 98%
Weekly summary info
Week 2 (2-0, 164.2, #31, D7 #1), appears locked in and likely home, 98% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 1 (1-0, 158.8, #38, D7 #1), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 4-6), 91% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 158.1, #32, D7 #1), 97% (bubble if 3-7), 92% home (maybe if 5-5), 80% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #1 at 8-2
Last season 150.5