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Rankings
#3 of 105 in Division 5
#1 of 25 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #11 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #40 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #297 Ottawa-Glandorf (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 31 (92%)
08/28 H #80 Columbus Grove (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 6 (62%)
09/04 A #514 Sylvania Northview (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 45 (99%)
09/11 H #127 Anthony Wayne (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 16 (83%)
09/18 H #166 Clay (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 22 (92%)
09/25 A #210 Fremont Ross (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 25 (94%)
10/02 H #459 Bowling Green (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 43 (99%)
10/09 A #343 Sylvania Southview (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 34 (99%)
10/16 A #438 Springfield (Holland) (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 39 (99%)
10/23 H #179 Napoleon (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 24 (94%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
22.80 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#1 seed in R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
88% (bubble if 6-4), 75% home (maybe if 7-3), 52% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 22.30 ( 1.05-37.25) 90% in, 78% home, 55% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 61%
Lose: 14.30 ( 0.00-29.35) 60% in, 37% home, 17% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 28%
Based on eventual number of wins
(31%) 10W: 26.50 (20.40-37.25) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 98%
(25%) 9W: 22.80 (16.65-30.60) 99% in, 99% home, 71% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 71%
(18%) 8W: 19.20 (13.00-27.35) 99% in, 83% home, 23% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 23%
(12%) 7W: 15.68 (10.40-24.60) 88% in, 36% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), Bluffton (0-0) 8%
( 7%) 6W: 12.45 ( 8.20-19.85) 53% in, 5% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Bluffton (0-0) 8%
( 4%) 5W: 9.70 ( 5.75-17.20) 15% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Eastwood (0-0) 11%
( 2%) 4W: 7.05 ( 3.85-12.55) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 1%) 3W: 4.65 ( 2.30- 9.10) out, proj. out
( 1%) 2W: 2.72 ( 1.10- 6.00) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Bluffton (0-0) 3%
Margaretta (0-0) 3%
Eastwood (0-0) 3%
Archbold (0-0) 3%
Most likely second round opponents
Coldwater (0-0) 9%
Galion (0-0) 8%
Bluffton (0-0) 8%
Triway (0-0) 7%
Eastwood (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 95.3, #406, D5 #54), 28% (bubble if 7-3), 12% home (maybe if 8-2), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 153.7