Region 26 home page
Region 26 projections
Region 26 playoff probabilities
Region 26 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 26 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#26 of 103 in Division 7
#10 of 26 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #9 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #31 in D7 (+30 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 44-26 H #263 Seneca East (3-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 8 (64%), perf. rating 85
08/28 W 39-27 A #592 Rogers (0-3) D2 R6, pick: W by 30 (93%), perf. rating 81
09/04 L 50-6 H #137 Delta (3-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 27 (7%), perf. rating 67
09/11 A #302 McComb (2-1) D7 R26, pick: L by 19 (13%)
09/25 A #571 Ottawa Hills (3-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 22 (92%)
10/02 A #528 Lakota (2-1) D6 R22, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/09 H #416 Northwood (2-1) D5 R18, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/16 H #358 Margaretta (2-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 9 (28%)
10/23 A #329 Woodmore (3-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 16 (15%)
Regular season projections
4-5 record
9.61 Harbin points (divisor 90)
#9 seed in R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
82% (likely needs 3-6), 48% home (maybe if 4-5), 15% bye (likely needs 6-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.94 ( 3.67-23.39) 99% in, 90% home, 55% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 56%
Lose: 8.83 ( 0.67-20.61) 79% in, 41% home, 9% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), Pandora-Gilboa (1-2) 14%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 7W: 20.22 (17.50-23.39) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(10%) 6W: 16.83 (12.11-20.89) 100% home, 90% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 90%
(20%) 5W: 13.11 ( 9.56-17.50) 100% in, 99% home, 16% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#10), bye 16%
(27%) 4W: 9.61 ( 6.83-14.00) 99% in, 53% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-out), Pandora-Gilboa (1-2) 19%
(24%) 3W: 6.61 ( 4.11-11.00) 81% in, 4% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Montpelier (3-0) 18%
(12%) 2W: 4.28 ( 2.28- 8.44) 18% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Edon (3-0) 17%
( 4%) 1W: 2.28 ( 0.67- 4.28) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) WWWWWW: 20.22 (17.50-23.39) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 6%) LWWWWW: 17.28 (14.50-20.61) 100% home, 90% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 90%
( 5%) LWWWLW: 13.28 (10.50-16.39) 100% in, 99% home, 18% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#9), bye 18%
( 8%) LWWWWL: 13.00 (10.56-16.17) 100% in, 98% home, 12% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#10), Jefferson (3-0) 15%
(14%) LWWWLL: 9.50 ( 6.83-13.00) 99% in, 47% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Pandora-Gilboa (1-2) 20%
(15%) LWWLLL: 6.39 ( 4.11- 9.89) 76% in, 2% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Montpelier (3-0) 18%
( 8%) LWLLLL: 4.28 ( 2.44- 7.89) 17% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Montpelier (3-0) 19%
( 4%) LLLLLL: 2.28 ( 0.67- 4.28) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Edon (3-0) 50%
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (1-2, 91.2, #421, D7 #26), 82% (likely needs 3-6), 48% home (maybe if 4-5), 15% bye (likely needs 6-3), proj. #9 at 4-5
Week 2 (1-1, 97.7, #379, D7 #19), 91% (bubble if 2-7), 65% home (maybe if 4-5), 27% bye (likely needs 6-3), proj. #6 at 5-4
Week 1 (0-1, 103.6, #338, D7 #16), 88% (bubble if 3-6), 66% home (maybe if 4-5), 31% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. #7 at 5-4
Week 0 (0-0, 115.4, #243, D7 #9), 94% (bubble if 3-6), 85% home (maybe if 4-5), 66% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. #2 at 7-2
Last season 116.5