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Rankings
#22 of 103 in Division 7
#7 of 26 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #9 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #21 in D7 (+130 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 44-26 H #245 Seneca East (5-2) D6 R22, pick: W by 8 (64%), perf. rating 88
08/28 L by forfeit A #595 Rogers (2-5) D2 R6 (no game)
09/04 L 50-6 H #201 Delta (5-2) D6 R22, pick: L by 25 (8%), perf. rating 58
09/11 L 17-0 A #225 McComb (6-1) D7 R26, pick: L by 16 (17%), perf. rating 96
09/25 W 31-13 A #584 Ottawa Hills (3-4) D6 R22, pick: W by 26 (95%), perf. rating 91
10/02 W 28-14 A #481 Lakota (3-4) D6 R22, pick: W by 5 (63%), perf. rating 106
10/09 H #417 Northwood (4-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 6 (65%)
10/16 H #296 Margaretta (6-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 12 (21%)
10/23 A #318 Woodmore (7-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 12 (21%)
Regular season projections
3-6 record
7.39 Harbin points (divisor 90)
#10 seed in R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
74% (likely needs 3-6), 32% home (likely needs 4-5), 6% bye (likely needs 5-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.44 ( 7.33-15.72) 99% in, 46% home, 10% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Pandora-Gilboa (3-4) 23%
Lose: 3.83 ( 3.83-13.06) 25% in, 4% home, proj. out (#5-out), Pandora-Gilboa (3-4) 34%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 5W: 15.61 (15.56-15.72) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#5), bye 95%
(24%) 4W: 11.44 (11.06-13.06) 100% in, 99% home, proj. #7 (#5-#10), Wayne Trace (5-2) 25%
(43%) 3W: 7.39 ( 7.33- 9.00) 99% in, 2% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Pandora-Gilboa (3-4) 35%
(26%) 2W: 3.83 ( 3.83- 5.33) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 7%) WWW: 15.61 (15.56-15.72) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#5), bye 95%
( 1%) LWW: 12.11 (12.06-13.06) 100% home, proj. #7 (#5-#7), North Central (3-4) 25%
(12%) WLW: 11.44 (11.39-12.44) 100% in, 99% home, proj. #7 (#5-#9), Wayne Trace (5-2) 27%
(12%) WWL: 11.11 (11.06-12.06) 100% in, 99% home, proj. #7 (#5-#10), Wayne Trace (5-2) 24%
( 3%) LWL: 8.00 ( 7.56- 9.00) 100% in, 4% home, proj. #10 (#8-#12), Pandora-Gilboa (3-4) 38%
( 4%) LLW: 7.89 ( 7.89- 8.89) 100% in, 8% home, proj. #9 (#7-#12), Pandora-Gilboa (3-4) 36%
(35%) WLL: 7.33 ( 7.33- 8.28) 99% in, 2% home, proj. #10 (#8-out), Pandora-Gilboa (3-4) 35%
(26%) LLL: 3.83 ( 3.83- 5.33) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-4, 96.4, #387, D7 #22), 74% (likely needs 3-6), 32% home (likely needs 4-5), 6% bye (likely needs 5-4), proj. #10 at 3-6
Week 6 (1-4, 92.7, #415, D7 #27), 51% (likely needs 3-6), 19% home (likely needs 4-5), proj. out at 2-7
Week 5 (0-4, 91.4, #416, D7 #24), 50% (likely needs 3-6), 18% home (likely needs 4-5), proj. out at 2-7
Week 4 (0-4, 93.2, #415, D7 #25), 65% (bubble if 2-7), 26% home (likely needs 4-5), 3% bye (maybe if 5-4), proj. #10 at 3-6
Week 3 (1-2, 91.2, #421, D7 #26), 82% (likely needs 3-6), 48% home (maybe if 4-5), 15% bye (likely needs 6-3), proj. #9 at 4-5
Week 2 (1-1, 97.7, #379, D7 #19), 91% (bubble if 2-7), 65% home (maybe if 4-5), 27% bye (likely needs 6-3), proj. #6 at 5-4
Week 1 (0-1, 103.6, #338, D7 #16), 88% (bubble if 3-6), 66% home (maybe if 4-5), 31% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. #7 at 5-4
Week 0 (0-0, 115.4, #243, D7 #9), 94% (bubble if 3-6), 85% home (maybe if 4-5), 66% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. #2 at 7-2
Last season 116.5