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Rankings
#9 of 100 in Division 2
#2 of 25 in Region 8
Strength of schedule #29 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #8 in D2 (+460 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 27-9 A #8 Toledo Central Catholic (5-1) D2 R6, pick: L by 22 (16%), perf. rating 156
08/28 W 20-7 H #78 Kettering Fairmont (2-4) D1 R2, pick: W by 10 (69%), perf. rating 162
09/04 W 25-9 A #43 Springfield (4-2) D1 R2, pick: L by 10 (29%), perf. rating 182
09/11 W 34-0 H #75 Archbishop Alter (4-2) D3 R12, pick: W by 11 (74%), perf. rating 194
09/18 W 72-0 A #414 Taft (0-6) D4 R16, pick: W by 47 (99%), perf. rating 157
09/25 W 17-10 H Indy Cathedral IN (3-3) D2
10/02 H #461 Dunbar (3-2) D4 R16, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/09 H #346 Mount Healthy (2-4) D3 R12, pick: W by 45 (99%)
10/23 H #6 Walsh Jesuit (4-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 12 (21%)
Regular season projections
7-2 record
26.28 Harbin points (divisor 87)
#3 seed in R8 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 98% bye (maybe if 6-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 26.86 (20.65-34.54) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 98%
Based on eventual number of wins
(22%) 8W: 31.15 (27.35-34.54) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(76%) 7W: 26.28 (20.65-30.65) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 98%
( 2%) 6W: 23.72 (20.90-27.91) 100% in, 99% home, 61% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 61%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(22%) WWW: 31.15 (27.35-34.54) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(76%) WWL: 26.28 (20.65-30.31) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 98%
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (5-1, 169.2, #20, D2 #9), appears locked in and likely home, 98% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. #3 at 7-2
Week 5 (4-1, 171.7, #19, D2 #9), appears locked in and likely home, 85% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. #3 at 7-2
Week 4 (3-1, 172.5, #19, D2 #10), appears locked in and likely home, 79% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. #3 at 7-2
Week 3 (2-1, 166.0, #24, D2 #10), likely in, 95% home (maybe if 5-4), 65% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. #3 at 6-3
Week 2 (1-1, 156.8, #45, D2 #16), 84% (bubble if 4-5), 51% home (maybe if 6-3), 18% bye (maybe if 7-2), proj. #6 at 6-3
Week 1 (0-1, 153.9, #44, D2 #14), 66% (bubble if 4-5), 40% home (maybe if 5-4), 14% bye (maybe if 7-2), proj. #11 at 5-4
Week 0 (0-0, 155.0, #39, D2 #14), 64% (bubble if 4-5), 44% home (maybe if 5-4), 22% bye (maybe if 7-2), proj. #8 at 5-4
Last season 161.7