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Rankings
#55 of 103 in Division 7
#11 of 25 in Region 28
Strength of schedule #37 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #51 in D7 (-148 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 30-0 A #344 Cincinnati College Prep (7-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 20 (18%), perf. rating 61
08/28 W 55-12 H #692 East Clinton (0-7) D5 R20, pick: W by 43 (98%), perf. rating 72
09/04 L 31-0 A #361 West Liberty-Salem (4-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 18 (16%), perf. rating 57
09/11 L 44-6 H #281 West Jefferson (6-1) D6 R23, pick: L by 32 (3%), perf. rating 53
09/18 W 28-27 A #617 Triad (2-5) D7 R28, pick: W by 5 (62%), perf. rating 58
09/25 L 32-0 H #462 Greeneview (4-3) D5 R20, pick: L by 23 (7%), perf. rating 36
10/02 L 62-30 A #503 Greenon (5-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 17 (14%), perf. rating 35
10/09 H #324 Madison-Plains (5-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 35 (1%)
10/16 A #695 Catholic Cent. (Sprfd.) (0-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/23 H #586 Southeastern Local (3-4) D7 R28, pick: L by 3 (42%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
1.89 Harbin points (divisor 95)
out of R28 playoffs
Playoff chances now
30% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.01 ( 4.97- 7.95) 99% in, 15% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Cincinnati Country Day (3-4) 36%
Lose: 2.31 ( 1.54- 4.87) 29% in, proj. out (#10-out), Riverside (DeGraff) (6-1) 33%
Based on eventual number of wins
(41%) 4W: 3.45 ( 3.45- 6.34) 72% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Riverside (DeGraff) (6-1) 32%
(58%) 3W: 1.89 ( 1.89- 5.09) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(40%) LWW: 3.45 ( 3.45- 4.87) 72% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), Riverside (DeGraff) (6-1) 33%
(57%) LWL: 1.89 ( 1.89- 3.73) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out), Riverside (DeGraff) (6-1) 71%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 56.8, #610, D7 #55), 30% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (2-4, 61.8, #591, D7 #53), 50% (bubble if 4-6), 7% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. #11 at 4-6
Week 5 (2-3, 65.0, #581, D7 #50), 48% (bubble if 4-6), 11% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. #11 at 4-6
Week 4 (1-3, 65.5, #576, D7 #49), 33% (bubble if 4-6), 10% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 66.8, #573, D7 #51), 36% (bubble if 4-6), 10% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 73.6, #538, D7 #44), 54% (bubble if 4-6), 22% home (maybe if 5-5), 4% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #12 at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 72.6, #543, D7 #41), 44% (bubble if 4-6), 21% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 79.0, #503, D7 #36), 47% (bubble if 5-5), 25% home (maybe if 7-3), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 83.9