Region 18 home page
Region 18 projections
Region 18 playoff probabilities
Region 18 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 18 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#15 of 106 in Division 5
#5 of 26 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #21 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #26 in D5 (+62 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 42-6 H #496 Firelands (1-3) D4 R14, pick: W by 36 (95%), perf. rating 131
08/29 W 35-10 H #405 St Paul (2-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 39 (97%), perf. rating 130
09/05 L 22-14 H #149 Hopewell-Loudon (4-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 16 (81%), perf. rating 118
09/12 W 20-0 A #454 Northridge (1-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 36 (98%), perf. rating 117
09/19 H #425 Norwalk (1-3) D3 R10, pick: W by 31 (97%)
09/26 H #256 Bellevue (3-1) D4 R14, pick: W by 15 (83%)
10/03 A #362 Clyde (0-4) D4 R14, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/10 A #331 Port Clinton (3-1) D5 R18, pick: W by 20 (91%)
10/17 A #285 Vermilion (3-1) D4 R14, pick: W by 15 (84%)
10/24 H #281 Huron (2-2) D6 R22, pick: W by 18 (88%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
18.50 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#6 seed in R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 86% home (maybe if 7-3), 45% bye (likely needs 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 20.10 ( 6.95-26.20) 99% in, 87% home, 46% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 47%
Lose: 15.80 ( 5.70-22.85) 90% in, 55% home, 13% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), bye 14%
Based on eventual number of wins
(50%) 9W: 21.60 (17.65-26.20) 100% home, 81% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 81%
(29%) 8W: 18.50 (14.75-22.85) 100% in, 97% home, 17% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#11), bye 17%
(13%) 7W: 15.65 (11.75-20.20) 99% in, 61% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-out), Fairview (Fairv. Park) (2-2) 21%
( 6%) 6W: 13.05 ( 9.95-17.55) 96% in, 13% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Fairview (Fairv. Park) (2-2) 15%
( 2%) 5W: 10.62 ( 7.75-13.80) 74% in, 3% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Liberty-Benton (4-0) 16%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(50%) WWWWWW: 21.60 (17.65-26.20) 100% home, 81% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 81%
( 3%) WWLWWW: 19.85 (17.35-22.85) 100% home, 42% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 42%
( 7%) WWWWWL: 19.35 (15.20-22.75) 100% in, 99% home, 25% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#10), bye 25%
( 6%) WLWWWW: 18.30 (15.55-21.45) 100% in, 99% home, 11% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#9), Fairview (Fairv. Park) (2-2) 16%
( 4%) WWWLWW: 18.05 (15.25-21.45) 100% in, 88% home, 10% bye, proj. #7 (#2-#11), Port Clinton (3-1) 16%
( 8%) WWWWLW: 17.60 (14.75-21.15) 100% in, 96% home, 7% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), Fairview (Fairv. Park) (2-2) 21%
( 2%) WWWWLL: 15.70 (12.65-19.15) 100% in, 66% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#11), Fairview (Fairv. Park) (2-2) 22%
( 1%) WWWLLW: 14.40 (11.85-17.45) 98% in, 26% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Port Clinton (3-1) 18%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (3-1, 127.6, #170, D5 #15), likely in, 86% home (maybe if 7-3), 45% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 3 (2-1, 129.8, #160, D5 #13), 97% (bubble if 5-5), 79% home (maybe if 7-3), 36% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 138.6, #107, D5 #8), likely in, 94% home (maybe if 6-4), 75% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 144.1, #81, D5 #6), likely in, 94% home (maybe if 6-4), 78% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 142.7, #90, D5 #6), 98% (bubble if 4-6), 91% home (maybe if 6-4), 67% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Last season 143.8