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Rankings
#98 of 102 in Division 3
#23 of 25 in Region 10
Strength of schedule #42 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #91 in D3 (-540 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 34-17 H #490 Start (4-4) D2 R6, pick: L by 5 (41%), perf. rating 54
08/28 L 58-0 A #119 Ontario (7-1) D3 R10, pick: L by 43 (2%), perf. rating 75
09/04 L 42-7 A #317 Madison (Mansfield) (3-5) D3 R10, pick: L by 31 (4%), perf. rating 57
09/11 L 55-0 H #138 Bellevue (5-3) D4 R14, pick: L by 42 (1%), perf. rating 67
09/18 L 42-0 H #411 Edison (Milan) (2-6) D5 R18, pick: L by 24 (7%), perf. rating 28
09/25 L 41-0 A #240 Vermilion (6-2) D5 R18, pick: L by 37 (1%), perf. rating 58
10/02 L 63-7 A #149 Tiffin Columbian (6-2) D3 R10, pick: L by 40 (1%), perf. rating 69
10/09 L 75-0 H #53 Perkins (8-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 49 (1%), perf. rating 87
10/16 A #384 Sandusky (0-8) D2 R6, pick: L by 28 (3%)
10/23 H #336 Clyde (3-5) D4 R14, pick: L by 30 (2%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R10 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 0.60 ( 0.60- 3.20) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00- 2.70) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 1W: 0.60 ( 0.60- 2.70) out, proj. out
(95%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) LW: 2.15 ( 2.15- 2.70) out
( 3%) WL: 0.60 ( 0.60- 1.05) out
(95%) LL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (0-7, 65.6, #575, D3 #97), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 0-10
Week 6 (0-6, 66.7, #571, D3 #98), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 5 (0-5, 67.6, #570, D3 #94), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 0-10
Week 4 (0-4, 73.5, #529, D3 #89), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 3 (0-3, 77.4, #518, D3 #91), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 79.5, #497, D3 #87), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 1 (0-1, 85.7, #456, D3 #78), 5% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 92.4, #423, D3 #76), 22% (bubble if 4-6), 10% home (maybe if 6-4), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 93.1