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Rankings
#30 of 105 in Division 5
#15 of 25 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #16 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #50 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #223 Johnstown (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 7 (37%)
08/28 H #480 Firelands (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 27 (91%)
09/04 A #434 Clearview (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 19 (86%)
09/11 H #276 Elyria Catholic (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 3 (56%)
09/18 A #386 Sandusky (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 13 (79%)
09/25 H #423 Norwalk (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 21 (91%)
10/02 A #279 Port Clinton (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/09 H #268 Huron (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 2 (55%)
10/16 A #224 Edison (Milan) (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 7 (32%)
10/23 H #251 Bellevue (0-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 1 (47%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
11.74 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
45% (bubble if 6-4), 26% home (maybe if 8-2), 10% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.23 ( 0.95-33.59) 74% in, 49% home, 22% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 30%
Lose: 9.22 ( 0.00-29.75) 29% in, 12% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 10W: 23.48 (16.52-33.59) 100% in, 99% home, 73% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#11), bye 73%
(11%) 9W: 20.31 (12.43-29.75) 99% in, 85% home, 32% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 32%
(13%) 8W: 17.18 (10.36-27.38) 92% in, 50% home, 7% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Bluffton (0-0) 7%
(14%) 7W: 14.36 ( 7.84-22.49) 68% in, 18% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), Bluffton (0-0) 8%
(13%) 6W: 11.74 ( 5.98-20.22) 34% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Bluffton (0-0) 9%
(12%) 5W: 9.47 ( 4.01-16.64) 11% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Margaretta (0-0) 8%
(10%) 4W: 7.25 ( 2.66-14.93) 2% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 8%) 3W: 5.29 ( 1.50-12.11) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 6%) 2W: 3.37 ( 0.90- 8.78) out, proj. out
( 4%) 1W: 1.66 ( 0.40- 5.60) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Bluffton (0-0) 6%
Margaretta (0-0) 6%
Norwayne (0-0) 5%
Eastwood (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty-Benton (0-0) 12%
Coldwater (0-0) 9%
Triway (0-0) 8%
Galion (0-0) 8%
Oak Harbor (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 132.1, #137, D5 #10), 78% (bubble if 5-5), 64% home (maybe if 7-3), 43% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Last season 110.0