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Rankings
#51 of 107 in Division 6
#16 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #1 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #60 in D6 (-143 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 42-7 A #247 Oak Harbor (2-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 18 (20%), perf. rating 66
08/28 L 37-0 H #95 Hopewell-Loudon (3-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 27 (9%), perf. rating 82
09/04 L 48-20 A #217 Genoa Area (2-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 23 (10%), perf. rating 81
09/11 A #358 Margaretta (2-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 14 (20%)
09/18 H #229 Tiffin Columbian (2-1) D3 R10, pick: L by 25 (6%)
09/25 A #177 Port Clinton (3-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/02 H #82 Bellevue (2-1) D4 R14, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/09 A #223 Vermilion (2-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 28 (3%)
10/16 H #53 Perkins (3-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 42 (1%)
10/23 H #317 Edison (Milan) (1-2) D5 R18, pick: L by 14 (18%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.15 ( 1.30-24.65) 6% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Delta (3-0) 15%
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00-17.40) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 4W: 12.05 ( 8.45-15.65) 71% in, 5% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), Delta (3-0) 18%
( 4%) 3W: 8.40 ( 5.55-13.00) 6% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(11%) 2W: 5.30 ( 2.75- 9.05) out, proj. out
(28%) 1W: 2.50 ( 1.05- 5.35) out, proj. out
(55%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WLLLWLW: 8.20 ( 5.95-10.30) 4% in, proj. out (#11-out), Allen East (3-0) 20%
( 1%) WWLLLLW: 7.95 ( 5.55-10.35) 2% in, proj. out (#11-out), Carey (1-2) 40%
( 4%) WLLLLLW: 4.90 ( 2.75- 7.25) out
( 2%) LLLLWLL: 3.15 ( 1.45- 4.55) out
( 9%) WLLLLLL: 2.90 ( 1.30- 3.70) out
( 3%) LWLLLLL: 2.85 ( 1.70- 4.45) out
(12%) LLLLLLW: 2.05 ( 1.05- 3.95) out
(55%) LLLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (0-3, 89.9, #432, D6 #51), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 95.3, #395, D6 #44), 7% (bubble if 4-6), 3% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 102.8, #347, D6 #32), 23% (bubble if 4-6), 13% home (maybe if 5-5), 6% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 111.7, #268, D6 #22), 44% (bubble if 4-6), 32% home (maybe if 5-5), 19% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 110.7