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Rankings
#22 of 107 in Division 6
#8 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #1 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #39 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #162 Oak Harbor (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 18 (20%)
08/28 H #122 Hopewell-Loudon (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 21 (15%)
09/04 A #189 Genoa Area (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 14 (22%)
09/11 A #247 Margaretta (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 5 (38%)
09/18 H #222 Tiffin Columbian (0-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 4 (40%)
09/25 A #279 Port Clinton (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/02 H #251 Bellevue (0-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/09 A #267 Vermilion (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 2 (44%)
10/16 H #55 Perkins (0-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/23 H #224 Edison (Milan) (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 3 (42%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
7.30 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
43% (bubble if 4-6), 32% home (maybe if 5-5), 19% bye (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.55 ( 0.45-38.80) 78% in, 66% home, 50% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 63%
Lose: 6.55 ( 0.00-34.85) 35% in, 23% home, 12% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 34%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 32.80 (25.60-38.80) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 3%) 9W: 28.45 (18.40-34.85) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 5%) 8W: 24.40 (14.05-31.35) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
( 7%) 7W: 20.67 (12.50-27.95) 100% in, 99% home, 85% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#11), bye 85%
( 9%) 6W: 17.05 ( 9.95-24.80) 99% in, 92% home, 43% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 43%
(11%) 5W: 13.60 ( 6.95-19.35) 93% in, 55% home, 6% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 8%
(12%) 4W: 10.30 ( 3.85-16.00) 58% in, 12% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 9%
(13%) 3W: 7.30 ( 2.45-12.75) 11% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Patrick Henry (0-0) 9%
(15%) 2W: 4.50 ( 0.90- 9.90) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(14%) 1W: 2.05 ( 0.45- 5.35) out, proj. out
(11%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 5%
Paulding (0-0) 4%
Crestview (Ashland) (0-0) 4%
Woodmore (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty Center (0-0) 12%
Columbus Grove (0-0) 10%
Patrick Henry (0-0) 9%
Carey (0-0) 8%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 111.7, #268, D6 #22), 43% (bubble if 4-6), 32% home (maybe if 5-5), 19% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 110.7