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Rankings
#54 of 108 in Division 6
#18 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #1 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #63 in D6 (-227 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 42-7 A #369 Oak Harbor (3-4) D5 R18, pick: L by 18 (20%), perf. rating 49
08/28 L 37-0 H #137 Hopewell-Loudon (7-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 27 (9%), perf. rating 75
09/04 L 48-20 A #188 Genoa Area (5-2) D5 R18, pick: L by 23 (10%), perf. rating 85
09/11 L 26-7 A #296 Margaretta (6-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 14 (20%), perf. rating 84
09/18 L 35-14 H #206 Tiffin Columbian (5-2) D3 R10, pick: L by 26 (5%), perf. rating 88
09/25 L 35-21 A #253 Port Clinton (6-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 31 (2%), perf. rating 96
10/02 L 56-21 H #110 Bellevue (5-2) D4 R14, pick: L by 37 (1%), perf. rating 84
10/09 A #216 Vermilion (6-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 30 (2%)
10/16 H #42 Perkins (7-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 44 (1%)
10/23 H #378 Edison (Milan) (2-5) D5 R18, pick: L by 8 (30%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.65 ( 3.60-11.45) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00- 7.40) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 2W: 5.65 ( 5.65- 9.90) out, proj. out
(29%) 1W: 1.60 ( 1.60- 5.35) out, proj. out
(69%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WLW: 5.65 ( 5.65- 6.60) out
( 1%) WLL: 4.05 ( 3.60- 4.55) out
(28%) LLW: 1.60 ( 1.60- 2.50) out
(69%) LLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (0-7, 87.2, #449, D6 #54), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 6 (0-6, 87.0, #451, D6 #55), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 5 (0-5, 84.7, #465, D6 #57), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 4 (0-4, 84.7, #469, D6 #59), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 3 (0-3, 89.9, #432, D6 #51), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 95.3, #395, D6 #44), 7% (bubble if 4-6), 3% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 102.8, #347, D6 #32), 23% (bubble if 4-6), 13% home (maybe if 5-5), 6% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 111.7, #268, D6 #22), 44% (bubble if 4-6), 32% home (maybe if 5-5), 19% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 110.7