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Rankings
#49 of 80 in Division 1
#11 of 19 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #59 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #3 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #88 Berea-Midpark (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 15 (25%)
08/28 H #45 Olmsted Falls (0-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 22 (13%)
09/04 H #234 Medina (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 15 (80%)
09/11 A #17 Mentor (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 33 (2%)
09/18 H #307 Shaker Heights (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 24 (93%)
09/25 A #290 Lorain (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 18 (87%)
10/02 A #231 Euclid (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 11 (76%)
10/09 H #116 Riverside (Painesville) (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 5 (37%)
10/16 H #133 Cleveland Heights (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 2 (45%)
10/23 A #92 Strongsville (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 13 (20%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
10.75 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#10 seed in R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
68% (bubble if 3-7), 38% home (maybe if 5-5), 10% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 16.45 ( 1.25-38.25) 93% in, 72% home, 28% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 30%
Lose: 8.15 ( 0.00-32.65) 60% in, 27% home, 4% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), Hudson (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 30.80 (26.00-38.25) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 4%) 9W: 25.85 (18.95-33.50) 100% home, 87% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 87%
( 7%) 8W: 21.80 (15.00-29.95) 100% in, 99% home, 54% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 54%
(11%) 7W: 17.80 (11.30-27.55) 100% in, 96% home, 16% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#11), bye 16%
(15%) 6W: 14.10 ( 8.20-22.80) 99% in, 72% home, 2% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), St Ignatius (0-0) 9%
(16%) 5W: 10.75 ( 5.65-18.75) 97% in, 29% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Berea-Midpark (0-0) 9%
(15%) 4W: 7.70 ( 3.70-14.85) 74% in, 5% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Strongsville (0-0) 10%
(13%) 3W: 5.10 ( 2.45-13.10) 30% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Hudson (0-0) 13%
(10%) 2W: 3.15 ( 1.20- 9.50) 4% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 6%) 1W: 1.25 ( 0.60- 6.10) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 3%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Strongsville (0-0) 7%
Cleveland Heights (0-0) 7%
Hudson (0-0) 7%
Berea-Midpark (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Mentor (0-0) 17%
St Edward (0-0) 16%
Austintown-Fitch (0-0) 14%
Canton McKinley (0-0) 12%
Hudson (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 129.0, #155, D1 #49), 68% (bubble if 3-7), 38% home (maybe if 5-5), 10% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 5-5
Last season 129.2