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Rankings
#66 of 72 in Division 1
#15 of 18 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #67 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #70 in D1 (-695 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 42-16 H #194 Maple Heights (3-1) D3 R9, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 83
08/29 W 41-14 H #463 Elyria (0-4) D1 R1, pick: W by 16 (79%), perf. rating 122
09/05 L 32-20 A #386 Sandusky (1-3) D2 R6, pick: W by 17 (83%), perf. rating 82
09/12 L 38-14 A #225 Euclid (2-2) D2 R5, pick: L by 10 (28%), perf. rating 85
09/19 H #154 Cleveland Heights (0-4) D1 R1, pick: L by 28 (4%)
09/26 A #188 Brunswick (1-3) D1 R1, pick: L by 26 (5%)
10/03 A #284 Shaker Heights (1-3) D2 R5, pick: L by 15 (17%)
10/10 H #93 Strongsville (3-1) D1 R1, pick: L by 33 (1%)
10/17 H #20 Mentor (4-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 45 (1%)
10/24 A #141 Medina (2-2) D1 R1, pick: L by 31 (2%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
0.65 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
2% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.65 ( 1.30-15.70) 12% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
Lose: 0.65 ( 0.65-18.85) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Perrysburg (3-1) 26%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 3W: 4.90 ( 3.05-12.05) 14% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(24%) 2W: 1.95 ( 1.30- 7.60) 2% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(70%) 1W: 0.65 ( 0.65- 2.40) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLLWLL: 5.05 ( 3.20- 6.35) 5% in, proj. out (#12-out), Perrysburg (3-1) 60%
( 1%) LLWLLW: 4.90 ( 3.65- 6.80) 9% in, proj. out (#11-out), Strongsville (3-1) 40%
( 1%) LWWLLL: 4.30 ( 3.70- 7.50) 5% in, proj. out (#11-out), Jackson (Massillon) (2-2) 33%
( 2%) LLLLLW: 3.65 ( 2.50- 5.70) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out), Canton McKinley (3-1) 33%
( 3%) LWLLLL: 2.55 ( 1.95- 5.70) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Perrysburg (3-1) 100%
( 2%) WLLLLL: 2.55 ( 1.30- 4.45) out
(15%) LLWLLL: 1.80 ( 1.80- 4.95) out
(70%) LLLLLL: 0.65 ( 0.65- 2.40) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 97.7, #388, D1 #66), 2% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 3 (1-2, 107.6, #307, D1 #62), 17% (bubble if 4-6), 3% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (1-1, 120.0, #221, D1 #56), 59% (bubble if 4-6), 24% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 112.9, #268, D1 #60), 39% (bubble if 4-6), 10% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 126.5, #170, D1 #50), 60% (bubble if 4-6), 32% home (maybe if 6-4), 10% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 5-5
Last season 126.4