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Rankings
#44 of 72 in Division 1
#10 of 18 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #53 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #36 in D1 (-68 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 21-13 A #239 Stow-Munroe Falls (2-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 12 (71%), perf. rating 131
08/29 L 42-17 A #63 Hoover (4-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 19 (17%), perf. rating 114
09/05 L 47-0 H #19 Wadsworth (4-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 27 (7%), perf. rating 105
09/12 W 38-3 H #284 Shaker Heights (1-3) D2 R5, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 161
09/19 A #20 Mentor (4-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 31 (3%)
09/26 A #93 Strongsville (3-1) D1 R1, pick: L by 11 (24%)
10/03 H #154 Cleveland Heights (0-4) D1 R1, pick: W by 4 (60%)
10/10 H #188 Brunswick (1-3) D1 R1, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/17 A #225 Euclid (2-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/24 H #388 Lorain (1-3) D1 R1, pick: W by 31 (98%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
11.80 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#9 seed in R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
91% (bubble if 3-7), 42% home (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 21.38 (10.55-28.10) 100% in, 91% home, 30% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#12), bye 30%
Lose: 12.50 ( 2.95-22.35) 91% in, 41% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Jackson (Massillon) (2-2) 20%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 8W: 25.75 (25.05-28.10) 100% home, 75% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 75%
(14%) 7W: 19.50 (18.70-25.15) 100% in, 99% home, 2% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), John Marshall (1-3) 29%
(31%) 6W: 15.00 (13.65-20.75) 100% in, 71% home, proj. #8 (#5-#11), Jackson (Massillon) (2-2) 29%
(28%) 5W: 11.80 ( 9.85-17.50) 99% in, 17% home, proj. #9 (#6-out), Jackson (Massillon) (2-2) 24%
(18%) 4W: 8.65 ( 6.75-14.30) 82% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Strongsville (3-1) 25%
( 7%) 3W: 6.10 ( 4.85- 9.95) 35% in, proj. out (#10-out), Perrysburg (3-1) 28%
( 1%) 2W: 4.25 ( 2.95- 7.40) 13% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWWWWW: 25.75 (25.05-28.10) 100% home, 75% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 75%
(13%) LWWWWW: 19.45 (18.70-22.35) 100% in, 99% home, 2% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), John Marshall (1-3) 28%
(23%) LLWWWW: 14.45 (13.65-17.65) 100% in, 67% home, proj. #8 (#6-#11), Jackson (Massillon) (2-2) 32%
(13%) LLLWWW: 11.80 (10.50-14.45) 99% in, 12% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Berea-Midpark (3-1) 23%
( 6%) LLWLWW: 11.15 ( 9.85-14.35) 99% in, 11% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Berea-Midpark (3-1) 25%
( 6%) LLLWLW: 8.70 ( 7.40-11.85) 93% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Strongsville (3-1) 27%
( 7%) LLLLWW: 8.60 ( 7.35-11.30) 68% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Strongsville (3-1) 23%
( 1%) LLLLLL: 4.25 ( 2.95- 7.40) 13% in, proj. out (#11-out), Canton McKinley (3-1) 31%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 133.2, #141, D1 #44), 91% (bubble if 3-7), 42% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #9 at 5-5
Week 3 (1-2, 119.6, #224, D1 #55), 67% (bubble if 3-7), 23% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. #10 at 4-6
Week 2 (1-1, 127.6, #168, D1 #48), 86% (bubble if 2-8), 48% home (maybe if 5-5), 6% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #7 at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 126.2, #174, D1 #49), 73% (bubble if 4-6), 30% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 126.4, #172, D1 #51), 57% (bubble if 4-6), 28% home (maybe if 6-4), 8% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 114.8