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Rankings
#62 of 79 in Division 1
#14 of 18 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #32 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #61 in D1 (-340 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 27-7 A #112 Findlay (4-3) D2 R6, pick: L by 21 (17%), perf. rating 110
08/28 L 18-14 H #117 Hoover (4-3) D2 R7, pick: L by 28 (8%), perf. rating 128
09/04 L 44-36 A #172 Brunswick (5-2) D1 R1, pick: L by 6 (37%), perf. rating 117
09/11 W 46-40 H #249 Stow-Munroe Falls (2-5) D1 R1, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 122
09/18 L 47-0 H #25 Highland (Medina) (6-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 31 (3%), perf. rating 99
09/25 L 42-7 A #26 Wadsworth (7-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 36 (1%), perf. rating 113
10/02 L 41-7 A #27 Hudson (6-1) D1 R1, pick: L by 36 (1%), perf. rating 114
10/09 H #157 North Royalton (3-4) D2 R5, pick: L by 10 (26%)
10/16 A #37 Nordonia (6-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 34 (1%)
10/23 H #272 Solon (3-4) D1 R1, pick: W by 6 (65%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
4.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
22% (likely needs 3-7), no home game
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.05 ( 4.90-13.50) 70% in, proj. #12 (#11-out), Canton McKinley (6-1) 22%
Lose: 4.40 ( 1.90-10.40) 6% in, proj. out (#11-out), Canton McKinley (6-1) 26%
Based on eventual number of wins
(20%) 3W: 8.10 ( 8.00-11.00) 90% in, proj. #12 (#11-out), Canton McKinley (6-1) 22%
(50%) 2W: 4.40 ( 4.40- 7.90) 7% in, proj. out (#11-out), Canton McKinley (6-1) 28%
(30%) 1W: 1.90 ( 1.90- 3.75) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(19%) WLW: 8.10 ( 8.00- 8.75) 90% in, proj. #12 (#11-out), Canton McKinley (6-1) 23%
( 6%) WLL: 5.55 ( 4.90- 6.25) out
(44%) LLW: 4.40 ( 4.40- 6.25) 8% in, proj. out (#12-out), Canton McKinley (6-1) 27%
(30%) LLL: 1.90 ( 1.90- 3.75) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (1-6, 116.8, #240, D1 #62), 22% (likely needs 3-7), no home game, proj. out at 2-8
Week 6 (1-5, 116.6, #241, D1 #60), 13% (bubble if 3-7), no home game, proj. out at 2-8
Week 5 (1-4, 117.1, #240, D1 #63), 13% (bubble if 3-7), no home game, proj. out at 2-8
Week 4 (1-3, 120.2, #216, D1 #61), 13% (bubble if 3-7), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (0-3, 120.4, #221, D1 #61), 15% (bubble if 3-7), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 123.4, #196, D1 #57), 30% (bubble if 3-7), 6% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 113.5, #259, D1 #66), 19% (bubble if 3-7), 4% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 115.8, #234, D1 #61), 37% (bubble if 3-7), 14% home (maybe if 5-5), 2% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 116.9