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Rankings
#25 of 80 in Division 1
#6 of 19 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #59 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #12 in D1 (+385 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 38-17 H #44 Olmsted Falls (2-1) D2 R6, pick: W by 18 (80%), perf. rating 186
08/28 W 31-30 H McDowell PA (1-1) D1
09/04 L 51-7 A #10 St Ignatius (2-1) D1 R1, pick: W by 11 (73%), perf. rating 119
09/11 H #153 Brunswick (2-1) D1 R1, pick: W by 24 (92%)
09/18 A #125 Riverside (Painesville) (1-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 17 (86%)
09/25 H #264 Cleveland Heights (0-3) D1 R1, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/02 A #88 Strongsville (1-2) D1 R1, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/09 A #304 Shaker Heights (1-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 33 (99%)
10/16 H #362 Lorain (1-2) D1 R1, pick: W by 39 (99%)
10/23 A #233 Euclid (1-2) D1 R1, pick: W by 28 (97%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
31.05 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#2 seed in R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 97% home (maybe if 5-5), 80% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 29.79 (12.19-34.54) 99% in, 99% home, 85% bye, proj. #2 (#1-out), bye 85%
Lose: 20.91 ( 8.11-29.24) 99% in, 76% home, 25% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 26%
Based on eventual number of wins
(53%) 9W: 31.05 (26.61-34.54) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(29%) 8W: 26.21 (21.31-31.82) 100% home, 83% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 83%
(12%) 7W: 22.23 (18.24-28.64) 100% in, 98% home, 27% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#10), bye 27%
( 4%) 6W: 18.40 (13.29-23.65) 100% in, 73% home, 3% bye, proj. #8 (#2-#11), Berea-Midpark (2-1) 18%
( 1%) 5W: 15.27 (10.27-20.47) 100% in, 33% home, proj. #9 (#5-#12), Berea-Midpark (2-1) 18%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(53%) WWWWWWW: 31.05 (26.61-34.54) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
( 3%) WWWWWWL: 26.77 (22.68-31.16) 100% home, 84% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 84%
( 6%) WLWWWWW: 26.26 (21.77-30.55) 100% home, 88% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 88%
(15%) WWWLWWW: 26.01 (21.31-29.90) 100% home, 80% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 80%
( 2%) LWWWWWW: 25.86 (22.63-29.24) 100% home, 72% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 72%
( 2%) WWWLWWL: 22.18 (18.34-26.82) 100% in, 96% home, 22% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#10), bye 22%
( 5%) WLWLWWW: 22.18 (18.59-25.61) 100% in, 99% home, 24% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#10), bye 24%
( 1%) LLWLWWW: 17.18 (14.00-20.37) 100% in, 59% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#11), Berea-Midpark (2-1) 20%
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (2-1, 152.7, #58, D1 #25), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 5-5), 80% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 177.9, #11, D1 #4), appears locked in and likely home, 97% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 1 (1-0, 173.3, #13, D1 #5), likely in and likely home, 91% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 169.4, #17, D1 #6), likely in, 95% home (maybe if 5-5), 78% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Last season 168.6