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Rankings
#27 of 79 in Division 1
#7 of 18 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #58 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #18 in D1 (+152 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 38-17 H #44 Olmsted Falls (5-2) D2 R6, pick: W by 18 (80%), perf. rating 184
08/28 W 31-30 H McDowell PA (5-1) D1
09/04 L 51-7 A #19 St Ignatius (4-3) D1 R1, pick: W by 11 (73%), perf. rating 109
09/11 W 63-18 H #172 Brunswick (5-2) D1 R1, pick: W by 24 (92%), perf. rating 187
09/18 W 35-14 A #91 Riverside (Painesville) (4-3) D2 R5, pick: W by 19 (88%), perf. rating 174
09/25 W 49-14 H #230 Cleveland Heights (1-6) D1 R1, pick: W by 34 (98%), perf. rating 168
10/02 L 56-30 A #69 Strongsville (4-3) D1 R1, pick: W by 22 (92%), perf. rating 108
10/09 A #426 Shaker Heights (1-6) D2 R5, pick: W by 39 (99%)
10/16 H #362 Lorain (2-5) D1 R1, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/23 A #220 Euclid (3-4) D1 R1, pick: W by 24 (94%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
28.53 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#2 seed in R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, 95% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 28.53 (22.13-30.61) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 95%
Lose: 26.77 (22.94-28.69) 100% home, 86% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#6), bye 86%
Based on eventual number of wins
(92%) 8W: 28.53 (25.96-30.61) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 96%
( 8%) 7W: 25.41 (22.68-28.69) 100% home, 75% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#8), bye 75%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(92%) WWW: 28.53 (25.96-30.61) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 96%
( 6%) WWL: 25.41 (22.68-27.38) 100% home, 71% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#8), bye 71%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 147.2, #63, D1 #27), appears locked in and home, 95% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 8-2
Week 6 (5-1, 160.8, #33, D1 #16), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 5 (4-1, 157.8, #43, D1 #21), appears locked in and likely home, 92% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 4 (3-1, 157.1, #45, D1 #22), appears locked in and likely home, 89% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 3 (2-1, 152.7, #58, D1 #25), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 5-5), 80% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 177.9, #11, D1 #4), appears locked in and likely home, 97% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 1 (1-0, 173.3, #13, D1 #5), likely in and likely home, 91% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 169.4, #17, D1 #6), likely in, 95% home (maybe if 5-5), 78% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Last season 168.6