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Rankings
#74 of 105 in Division 5
#19 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #36 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #59 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 A #176 Colonel Crawford (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 36 (5%)
08/28 H #195 Indian Lake (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 33 (5%)
09/04 A #549 Madison-Plains (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 6 (63%)
09/11 H #357 Greeneview (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 21 (11%)
09/18 A #632 Southeastern Local (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 24 (93%)
09/25 H #371 West Liberty-Salem (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 19 (11%)
10/02 H #275 Mechanicsburg (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/09 A #254 Northeastern (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/16 H #660 Triad (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/23 A #326 West Jefferson (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 25 (5%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
2.95 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
9% (bubble if 6-4), 3% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.65 ( 1.45-26.95) 37% in, 19% home, 5% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 13%
Lose: 3.40 ( 0.00-23.00) 8% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Ridgewood (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 18.90 (14.05-23.90) 100% in, 94% home, 37% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 37%
( 2%) 8W: 16.15 (10.80-21.60) 98% in, 71% home, 8% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), Grove City Christian (0-0) 9%
( 4%) 7W: 12.95 ( 7.60-17.65) 82% in, 22% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Portsmouth (0-0) 10%
( 7%) 6W: 10.00 ( 5.45-15.75) 37% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), Ridgewood (0-0) 9%
(12%) 5W: 7.30 ( 3.10-13.60) 7% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Ridgewood (0-0) 10%
(19%) 4W: 5.00 ( 2.20-11.25) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
(24%) 3W: 2.95 ( 1.15- 8.00) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(20%) 2W: 1.45 ( 0.70- 5.85) out, proj. out
( 9%) 1W: 0.70 ( 0.35- 4.05) out, proj. out
( 3%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Ridgewood (0-0) 9%
Portsmouth (0-0) 8%
Grove City Christian (0-0) 8%
Africentric Early Coll. (0-0) 6%
Dawson-Bryant (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Wheelersburg (0-0) 20%
Ironton (0-0) 17%
Columbus Academy (0-0) 12%
Fort Frye (0-0) 10%
Africentric Early Coll. (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 104.4, #322, D5 #39), 74% (bubble if 5-5), 52% home (maybe if 7-3), 23% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Last season 70.9