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Rankings
#11 of 107 in Division 6
#3 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #50 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #16 in D6 (+208 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 35-28 H #345 Urbana (1-3) D4 R16, pick: L by 7 (37%), perf. rating 112
08/29 W 36-8 A #450 Riverside (DeGraff) (2-2) D7 R28, pick: W by 22 (87%), perf. rating 129
09/05 W 32-0 H #396 Greeneview (2-2) D5 R20, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 141
09/12 W 48-2 A #620 Southeastern Local (0-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 42 (99%), perf. rating 121
09/19 H #583 Madison-Plains (0-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 41 (99%)
09/26 A #295 West Jefferson (4-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/03 H #417 West Liberty-Salem (2-2) D5 R20, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/10 A #554 Fairbanks (1-3) D6 R23, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/17 A #257 Mechanicsburg (3-1) D6 R24, pick: W by 4 (60%)
10/24 H #674 Triad (0-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 49 (99%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
17.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#1 seed in R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 91% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 18.30 ( 7.00-24.50) 100% in, 99% home, 91% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#12), bye 91%
Lose: 15.15 ( 7.45-21.35) 100% in, 98% home, 73% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 73%
Based on eventual number of wins
(44%) 10W: 20.75 (17.20-24.50) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(36%) 9W: 17.15 (13.80-22.70) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 99%
(16%) 8W: 13.75 (10.85-20.15) 100% in, 99% home, 59% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 59%
( 3%) 7W: 11.68 ( 8.25-16.15) 100% in, 95% home, 19% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#11), bye 19%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(44%) WWWWWW: 20.75 (17.20-24.50) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 1%) WWLWWW: 18.10 (15.80-21.05) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(22%) WWWWLW: 17.15 (13.90-20.65) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 99%
(11%) WLWWWW: 17.00 (13.80-19.90) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 2%) WWLWLW: 14.75 (11.95-17.85) 100% home, 81% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 81%
(13%) WLWWLW: 13.50 (10.85-17.35) 100% in, 99% home, 51% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 51%
( 2%) WLLWLW: 11.15 ( 8.25-14.35) 100% in, 92% home, 5% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#11), Anna (3-1) 15%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 121.0, #209, D6 #11), appears locked in and likely home, 91% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 120.8, #214, D6 #11), likely in and likely home, 93% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 2 (2-0, 111.9, #280, D6 #19), 98% (bubble if 5-5), 91% home (maybe if 6-4), 66% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 108.2, #303, D6 #20), 96% (bubble if 4-6), 83% home (maybe if 6-4), 53% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 102.3, #337, D6 #22), 76% (bubble if 4-6), 58% home (maybe if 5-5), 33% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 6-4
Last season 101.0