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Rankings
#79 of 108 in Division 6
#17 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #23 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #88 in D6 (-431 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 49-0 A #151 Urbana (5-2) D4 R16, pick: W by 10 (68%), perf. rating 69
08/28 L 47-21 H #349 Riverside (DeGraff) (6-1) D7 R28, pick: W by 17 (80%), perf. rating 62
09/04 L 41-7 A #462 Greeneview (4-3) D5 R20, pick: L by 23 (10%), perf. rating 37
09/11 W 6-0 H #586 Southeastern Local (3-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 8 (68%), perf. rating 69
09/18 L 48-7 A #324 Madison-Plains (5-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 14 (19%), perf. rating 47
09/25 L 47-12 H #281 West Jefferson (6-1) D6 R23, pick: L by 32 (2%), perf. rating 57
10/02 L 35-0 A #361 West Liberty-Salem (4-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 29 (3%), perf. rating 51
10/09 H #489 Fairbanks (1-6) D5 R19, pick: L by 14 (18%)
10/16 H #208 Mechanicsburg (6-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/23 A #617 Triad (2-5) D7 R28, pick: W by 10 (74%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
2.94 Harbin points (divisor 98)
out of R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.11 ( 2.33- 8.34) out, proj. out
Lose: 2.59 ( 1.52- 7.63) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
(15%) 3W: 4.11 ( 3.75- 7.63) out, proj. out
(61%) 2W: 2.94 ( 2.33- 5.70) out, proj. out
(23%) 1W: 1.88 ( 1.52- 2.75) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(15%) WLW: 4.11 ( 3.75- 4.98) out
( 2%) WLL: 3.04 ( 2.33- 3.91) out
(59%) LLW: 2.94 ( 2.59- 3.86) out
(23%) LLL: 1.88 ( 1.52- 2.75) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (1-6, 67.1, #569, D6 #79), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 2-8
Week 6 (1-5, 67.1, #568, D6 #79), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 2-8
Week 5 (1-4, 68.0, #566, D6 #78), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 2-8
Week 4 (1-3, 75.2, #521, D6 #70), 2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (0-3, 75.4, #534, D6 #72), 6% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 77.2, #514, D6 #68), 13% (bubble if 5-5), 4% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 89.5, #428, D6 #54), 38% (bubble if 5-5), 21% home (maybe if 7-3), 8% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 114.0, #254, D6 #19), 83% (bubble if 6-4), 64% home (maybe if 7-3), 36% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 8-2
Last season 119.1