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Rankings
#19 of 107 in Division 6
#5 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #44 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #95 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #349 Urbana (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 10 (68%)
08/28 H #506 Riverside (DeGraff) (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 31 (94%)
09/04 A #357 Greeneview (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 11 (73%)
09/11 H #632 Southeastern Local (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 43 (99%)
09/18 A #549 Madison-Plains (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 33 (98%)
09/25 H #326 West Jefferson (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 12 (78%)
10/02 A #371 West Liberty-Salem (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 12 (78%)
10/09 H #504 Fairbanks (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 31 (98%)
10/16 H #275 Mechanicsburg (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 5 (63%)
10/23 A #660 Triad (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 46 (99%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
14.60 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#7 seed in R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
82% (bubble if 6-4), 64% home (maybe if 7-3), 36% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 16.95 ( 1.20-28.10) 92% in, 77% home, 47% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 52%
Lose: 10.35 ( 0.00-23.55) 62% in, 37% home, 12% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 20%
Based on eventual number of wins
(22%) 10W: 20.95 (14.65-28.10) 100% in, 99% home, 94% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#9), bye 94%
(22%) 9W: 17.65 (10.55-24.75) 100% in, 97% home, 57% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#12), bye 57%
(18%) 8W: 14.60 ( 8.55-21.75) 99% in, 79% home, 17% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 17%
(14%) 7W: 11.75 ( 6.25-19.35) 91% in, 40% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 7%
(10%) 6W: 9.15 ( 4.45-15.55) 60% in, 9% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), Zane Trace (0-0) 9%
( 7%) 5W: 6.85 ( 3.10-12.80) 22% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Zane Trace (0-0) 10%
( 4%) 4W: 4.95 ( 1.80-12.05) 4% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
( 2%) 3W: 3.15 ( 1.05- 8.80) out, proj. out
( 1%) 2W: 1.85 ( 0.70- 4.95) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Anna (0-0) 4%
Northwest (McDermott) (0-0) 4%
Valley (0-0) 4%
St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Tri-Village (0-0) 11%
St Henry (0-0) 11%
Mechanicsburg (0-0) 9%
Anna (0-0) 9%
Zane Trace (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 114.0, #254, D6 #19), 82% (bubble if 6-4), 64% home (maybe if 7-3), 36% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 8-2
Last season 119.1