Region 20 home page
Region 20 projections
Region 20 playoff probabilities
Region 20 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 20 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#55 of 106 in Division 5
#13 of 25 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #50 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #48 in D5 (-110 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 33-7 H #191 Jonathan Alder (4-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 4 (56%), perf. rating 84
08/29 L 24-0 A #275 Benjamin Logan (2-2) D4 R14, pick: W by 2 (54%), perf. rating 78
09/05 W 21-15 A #506 Cedarville (2-2) D7 R28, pick: W by 8 (67%), perf. rating 90
09/12 W 31-7 H #578 Catholic Cent. (Sprfd.) (3-1) D7 R28, pick: W by 27 (95%), perf. rating 100
09/19 A #456 Greenon (2-2) D5 R20, pick: W by 6 (65%)
09/26 H #554 Fairbanks (1-3) D6 R23, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/03 A #209 Northeastern (4-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/10 H #674 Triad (0-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 41 (99%)
10/17 A #295 West Jefferson (4-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 19 (11%)
10/24 H #257 Mechanicsburg (3-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 20 (9%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
9.30 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#12 seed in R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
53% (bubble if 5-5), 16% home (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.70 ( 5.90-21.65) 73% in, 24% home, 2% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), Miami East (3-1) 12%
Lose: 6.55 ( 3.75-18.20) 15% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), Miami East (3-1) 15%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 7W: 15.85 (13.80-18.20) 100% in, 99% home, 19% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#9), bye 19%
(18%) 6W: 12.50 ( 9.90-15.70) 99% in, 55% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-out), Greeneview (2-2) 15%
(43%) 5W: 9.30 ( 7.00-12.95) 64% in, 2% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), Miami East (3-1) 17%
(28%) 4W: 6.80 ( 4.95-11.65) 5% in, proj. out (#9-out), Miami East (3-1) 24%
( 5%) 3W: 5.25 ( 3.75- 8.10) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) WWLWWW: 15.75 (13.80-17.90) 100% in, 99% home, 16% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), bye 16%
( 2%) WWWWLL: 12.85 (11.15-14.65) 100% in, 66% home, proj. #8 (#5-#12), Greeneview (2-2) 16%
( 8%) WWLWWL: 12.50 (10.25-14.55) 99% in, 57% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-out), Purcell Marian (2-2) 15%
( 7%) WWLWLW: 12.20 ( 9.90-14.75) 99% in, 47% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Greeneview (2-2) 15%
(37%) WWLWLL: 9.30 ( 7.00-11.45) 63% in, 2% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Miami East (3-1) 18%
( 3%) WLLWLL: 7.75 ( 5.90- 9.40) 12% in, proj. out (#9-out), Miami East (3-1) 16%
(23%) LWLWLL: 6.50 ( 4.95- 9.00) 2% in, proj. out (#11-out), Miami East (3-1) 30%
( 5%) LLLWLL: 5.25 ( 3.75- 6.60) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 92.8, #417, D5 #55), 53% (bubble if 5-5), 16% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 3 (1-2, 94.9, #401, D5 #51), 68% (bubble if 5-5), 29% home (maybe if 6-4), 6% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #11 at 5-5
Week 2 (0-2, 93.5, #413, D5 #56), 53% (bubble if 5-5), 25% home (maybe if 6-4), 4% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 5-5
Week 1 (0-1, 103.9, #331, D5 #37), 76% (bubble if 5-5), 56% home (maybe if 6-4), 30% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 118.2, #222, D5 #20), 91% (bubble if 5-5), 78% home (maybe if 7-3), 49% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Last season 119.4