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Rankings
#33 of 108 in Division 6
#8 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #93 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #35 in D6 (+10 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 39-6 A #578 Westfall (2-5) D5 R19, pick: L by 16 (23%), perf. rating 116
08/28 W 71-7 H #573 Grove City Christian (3-4) D5 R19, pick: W by 24 (89%), perf. rating 127
09/04 W 30-20 H #489 Fairbanks (1-6) D5 R19, pick: W by 20 (87%), perf. rating 96
09/11 L 41-0 A #208 Mechanicsburg (6-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 14 (20%), perf. rating 62
09/18 W 48-7 H #569 Northeastern (1-6) D6 R24, pick: W by 14 (81%), perf. rating 126
10/02 W 37-0 H #462 Greeneview (4-3) D5 R20, pick: W by 5 (63%), perf. rating 138
10/09 A #610 Cedarville (2-5) D7 R28, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/16 A #586 Southeastern Local (3-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 33 (99%)
10/23 H #503 Greenon (5-2) D5 R20, pick: W by 25 (95%)
Regular season projections
8-1 record
17.61 Harbin points (divisor 90)
#5 seed in R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 94% home (likely needs 8-1), 17% bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.61 (11.22-19.00) 100% in, 94% home, 17% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#12), Covington (4-3) 22%
Lose: 15.50 ( 9.83-16.83) 99% in, 48% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Versailles (4-3) 18%
Based on eventual number of wins
(93%) 8W: 17.61 (16.00-19.00) 100% in, 99% home, 18% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#10), Covington (4-3) 23%
( 7%) 7W: 14.44 (12.44-16.83) 100% in, 18% home, proj. #10 (#5-#12), Huntington (5-2) 24%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(93%) WWW: 17.61 (16.00-19.00) 100% in, 99% home, 18% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#10), Covington (4-3) 23%
( 1%) WLW: 15.56 (14.33-16.44) 100% in, 54% home, proj. #8 (#5-#12), Versailles (4-3) 25%
( 5%) WWL: 14.06 (12.44-15.39) 100% in, 4% home, proj. #11 (#7-#12), Huntington (5-2) 29%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-1, 105.6, #324, D6 #33), likely in, 94% home (likely needs 8-1), 17% bye, proj. #5 at 8-1
Week 6 (4-1, 96.6, #386, D6 #45), likely in, 65% home (maybe if 7-2), 18% bye (maybe if 8-1), proj. #5 at 8-1
Week 5 (4-1, 95.8, #398, D6 #45), 97% (bubble if 6-4), 58% home (likely needs 9-1), 2% bye, proj. #6 at 9-1
Week 4 (3-1, 86.7, #453, D6 #56), 67% (bubble if 7-3), 21% home (likely needs 9-1), proj. out at 7-3
Week 3 (3-0, 94.4, #406, D6 #44), 87% (bubble if 6-4), 54% home (maybe if 8-2), 10% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #8 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 98.0, #377, D6 #39), 84% (bubble if 6-4), 58% home (maybe if 8-2), 22% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 93.0, #415, D6 #48), 68% (bubble if 6-4), 41% home (maybe if 8-2), 13% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 71.1, #549, D6 #75), 22% (bubble if 5-5), 10% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 69.3