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Rankings
#75 of 107 in Division 6
#17 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #52 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #90 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #474 Westfall (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 16 (23%)
08/28 H #488 Grove City Christian (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 9 (33%)
09/04 H #504 Fairbanks (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 6 (37%)
09/11 A #275 Mechanicsburg (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 33 (2%)
09/18 H #254 Northeastern (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 33 (2%)
09/25 A #585 Catholic Cent. (Sprfd.) (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 4 (60%)
10/02 H #357 Greeneview (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 26 (5%)
10/09 A #503 Cedarville (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 10 (26%)
10/16 A #632 Southeastern Local (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 17 (87%)
10/23 H #483 Greenon (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 10 (26%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
23% (bubble if 5-5), 9% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.25 ( 0.45-27.35) 50% in, 25% home, 8% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), bye 16%
Lose: 3.45 ( 0.00-23.00) 15% in, 5% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 21.55 (16.65-27.35) 100% home, 94% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 94%
( 2%) 9W: 18.20 (13.00-23.00) 100% in, 98% home, 63% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 63%
( 4%) 8W: 15.55 ( 9.85-20.65) 99% in, 84% home, 18% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 18%
( 6%) 7W: 12.85 ( 7.35-19.05) 95% in, 45% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 8%
( 9%) 6W: 10.35 ( 5.90-16.80) 72% in, 13% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 10%
(11%) 5W: 8.15 ( 3.85-14.55) 34% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 10%
(13%) 4W: 6.05 ( 2.75-12.55) 7% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 12%
(15%) 3W: 4.10 ( 1.85- 9.50) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(16%) 2W: 2.35 ( 0.80- 7.05) out, proj. out
(15%) 1W: 0.80 ( 0.35- 4.35) out, proj. out
(10%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 8%
Valley (0-0) 7%
Anna (0-0) 7%
Zane Trace (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Tri-Village (0-0) 13%
St Henry (0-0) 11%
Northeastern (0-0) 11%
Cincinnati College Prep (0-0) 10%
Zane Trace (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 71.1, #549, D6 #75), 23% (bubble if 5-5), 9% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 69.3