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Rankings
#63 of 106 in Division 5
#13 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #80 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #53 in D5 (-195 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 35-28 A #521 Blanchester (4-4) D5 R20, pick: W by 26 (88%), perf. rating 89
08/28 L 28-14 H #328 Waynesville (6-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 17 (20%), perf. rating 82
09/04 W 41-7 H #593 Northeastern (1-7) D6 R24, pick: W by 23 (90%), perf. rating 110
09/11 W 21-14 A #447 Fairbanks (2-6) D5 R19, pick: W by 23 (91%), perf. rating 100
09/18 L 41-7 H #248 Mechanicsburg (6-2) D6 R24, pick: L by 11 (25%), perf. rating 63
09/25 W 32-0 A #612 Cedarville (2-6) D7 R28, pick: W by 23 (93%), perf. rating 105
10/02 L 37-0 A #324 Madison-Plains (6-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 5 (37%), perf. rating 53
10/09 W 35-13 H #598 Southeastern Local (3-5) D7 R28, pick: W by 24 (94%), perf. rating 91
10/16 A #496 Greenon (5-2) D5 R20, pick: W by 3 (58%)
Regular season projections
6-3 record
12.10 Harbin points (divisor 88)
#7 seed in R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
89% (bubble if 5-4), 49% home (likely needs 6-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.10 (10.79-13.23) 100% in, 84% home, proj. #8 (#5-#11), Carlisle (4-4) 25%
Lose: 9.32 ( 8.02-10.46) 73% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Summit Country Day (4-3) 28%
Based on eventual number of wins
(58%) 6W: 12.10 (10.79-13.23) 100% in, 84% home, proj. #8 (#5-#11), Carlisle (4-4) 25%
(42%) 5W: 9.32 ( 8.02-10.46) 73% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Summit Country Day (4-3) 28%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(58%) W: 12.10 (10.79-13.23) 100% in, 84% home, proj. #8 (#5-#11), Carlisle (4-4) 25%
(42%) L: 9.32 ( 8.02-10.46) 73% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Summit Country Day (4-3) 28%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 85.4, #462, D5 #61), 72% (bubble if 6-4), 34% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #8 at 7-3
Week 6 (4-2, 93.8, #405, D5 #51), 93% (bubble if 6-4), 68% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye, proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 5 (3-2, 91.3, #418, D5 #52), 83% (bubble if 6-4), 51% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye, proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 4 (3-1, 100.4, #362, D5 #42), 95% (bubble if 6-4), 85% home (likely needs 7-3), 42% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 3 (2-1, 103.1, #347, D5 #40), 94% (bubble if 5-5), 82% home (maybe if 7-3), 50% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 2 (1-1, 99.7, #365, D5 #47), 83% (bubble if 5-5), 66% home (maybe if 6-4), 36% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 95.8, #394, D5 #55), 72% (bubble if 5-5), 52% home (maybe if 7-3), 26% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 101.5, #357, D5 #47), 71% (bubble if 6-4), 52% home (maybe if 7-3), 28% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Last season 96.2