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Rankings
#47 of 105 in Division 5
#8 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #83 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #91 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #550 Blanchester (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 26 (88%)
08/28 H #336 Waynesville (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/04 H #254 Northeastern (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 11 (27%)
09/11 A #504 Fairbanks (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 21 (89%)
09/18 H #275 Mechanicsburg (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 8 (31%)
09/25 A #503 Cedarville (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 20 (90%)
10/02 A #549 Madison-Plains (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 26 (95%)
10/09 H #632 Southeastern Local (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 38 (99%)
10/16 A #483 Greenon (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 16 (85%)
10/23 H #585 Catholic Cent. (Sprfd.) (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 31 (98%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
12.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#6 seed in R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
72% (bubble if 6-4), 53% home (maybe if 7-3), 28% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.55 ( 0.45-28.35) 77% in, 57% home, 31% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 40%
Lose: 7.15 ( 0.00-24.90) 34% in, 17% home, 5% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 14%
Based on eventual number of wins
(11%) 10W: 21.00 (14.90-28.35) 100% in, 99% home, 96% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#9), bye 96%
(16%) 9W: 17.90 (12.60-25.35) 100% in, 99% home, 70% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 70%
(17%) 8W: 15.10 ( 9.95-21.45) 99% in, 89% home, 29% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 29%
(16%) 7W: 12.45 ( 7.55-19.85) 95% in, 52% home, 5% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 6%
(13%) 6W: 10.02 ( 5.70-16.95) 68% in, 13% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 7%
(10%) 5W: 7.75 ( 3.75-12.40) 24% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 9%
( 7%) 4W: 5.75 ( 2.85-11.55) 4% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
( 5%) 3W: 3.92 ( 1.50- 8.85) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 2%) 2W: 2.50 ( 0.80- 6.60) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 1.10 ( 0.35- 4.70) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 4%
Purcell Marian (0-0) 4%
Williamsburg (0-0) 4%
Miami East (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 10%
Brookville (0-0) 10%
Carlisle (0-0) 8%
Graham Local (0-0) 8%
Williamsburg (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 111.2, #273, D5 #31), 71% (bubble if 5-5), 54% home (maybe if 6-4), 32% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #7 at 6-4
Last season 96.2