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Region 28 playoff probabilities
Region 28 seeding probabilities
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Rankings
#71 of 105 in Division 7
#19 of 26 in Region 28
Strength of schedule #11 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #100 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #442 Northwestern (Sprfd.) (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 32 (7%)
08/28 H #339 Lehman Catholic (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 36 (4%)
09/04 H #275 Mechanicsburg (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 40 (1%)
09/11 A #254 Northeastern (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 43 (1%)
09/18 H #504 Fairbanks (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 24 (7%)
09/25 A #483 Greenon (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/02 H #585 Catholic Cent. (Sprfd.) (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 11 (24%)
10/09 A #357 Greeneview (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/16 H #549 Madison-Plains (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 17 (13%)
10/23 A #503 Cedarville (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 26 (4%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
1.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R28 playoffs
Playoff chances now
8% (bubble if 4-6), 3% home (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.68 ( 0.45-22.60) 33% in, 16% home, 4% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 13%
Lose: 1.10 ( 0.00-19.00) 6% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), New Bremen (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 7W: 13.30 ( 8.85-17.95) 100% in, 95% home, 31% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#9), bye 31%
( 2%) 6W: 10.75 ( 6.90-15.85) 99% in, 66% home, 8% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), bye 8%
( 3%) 5W: 8.40 ( 4.35-13.70) 85% in, 24% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), New Bremen (0-0) 9%
( 6%) 4W: 6.20 ( 2.90-10.70) 41% in, 3% home, proj. out (#5-out), New Bremen (0-0) 9%
(10%) 3W: 4.25 ( 1.55- 9.45) 7% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Ansonia (0-0) 12%
(18%) 2W: 2.45 ( 0.80- 7.45) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(28%) 1W: 1.10 ( 0.35- 4.30) out, proj. out
(33%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
New Bremen (0-0) 8%
Minster (0-0) 7%
Ridgemont (0-0) 7%
Lehman Catholic (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Marion Local (0-0) 20%
Cincinnati Country Day (0-0) 15%
Ansonia (0-0) 14%
Lehman Catholic (0-0) 10%
Minster (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 41.4, #660, D7 #82), 4% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Last season 47.1