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Rankings
#27 of 106 in Division 5
#8 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #13 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #36 in D5 (+32 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 27-20 A #295 West Jefferson (4-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 5 (59%), perf. rating 101
08/29 L 28-14 A #99 Licking Valley (4-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 37 (3%), perf. rating 122
09/05 W 25-7 A #251 Zane Trace (3-1) D5 R19, pick: L by 22 (11%), perf. rating 144
09/12 L 16-6 H #187 Bloom-Carroll (2-2) D3 R11, pick: L by 5 (38%), perf. rating 108
09/19 A #342 Circleville (4-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 9 (71%)
09/26 H #197 Hamilton Township (4-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 7 (33%)
10/03 H #498 Lucas (2-2) D7 R27, pick: W by 31 (98%)
10/10 A #470 Logan Elm (0-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/17 A #324 Fairfield Union (1-3) D4 R15, pick: W by 7 (68%)
10/24 A #490 Liberty Union (3-1) D6 R23, pick: W by 28 (97%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
15.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#8 seed in R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
81% (bubble if 4-6), 45% home (maybe if 6-4), 4% bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 15.55 ( 7.50-22.50) 96% in, 59% home, 6% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Zane Trace (3-1) 15%
Lose: 10.45 ( 4.00-18.10) 43% in, 10% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Zane Trace (3-1) 17%
Based on eventual number of wins
(22%) 7W: 19.65 (17.05-22.50) 100% in, 99% home, 19% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#9), bye 19%
(34%) 6W: 15.40 (13.25-19.65) 99% in, 63% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-out), Zane Trace (3-1) 21%
(27%) 5W: 12.50 ( 9.80-17.15) 82% in, 5% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Africentric Early Coll. (3-1) 17%
(13%) 4W: 9.40 ( 7.70-15.20) 23% in, proj. out (#9-out), Africentric Early Coll. (3-1) 25%
( 4%) 3W: 7.55 ( 5.90-11.30) 2% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(22%) WWWWWW: 19.65 (17.05-22.50) 100% in, 99% home, 19% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#9), bye 19%
( 5%) WWWWLW: 17.35 (15.55-19.65) 100% in, 95% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), Valley (4-0) 23%
( 3%) LWWWWW: 15.65 (13.95-18.10) 100% in, 69% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#11), Zane Trace (3-1) 25%
(24%) WLWWWW: 15.25 (13.25-18.45) 99% in, 55% home, proj. #8 (#5-out), Zane Trace (3-1) 23%
(13%) WLWWLW: 12.85 (10.90-15.90) 91% in, 4% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Columbus Academy (2-2) 17%
( 9%) LLWWWW: 11.35 ( 9.80-13.80) 61% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Africentric Early Coll. (3-1) 26%
( 8%) LLWWLW: 9.25 ( 7.90-11.20) 10% in, proj. out (#10-out), Africentric Early Coll. (3-1) 34%
( 1%) LLWWLL: 6.88 ( 5.90- 8.60) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 114.7, #259, D5 #27), 81% (bubble if 4-6), 45% home (maybe if 6-4), 4% bye, proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 3 (1-2, 112.8, #270, D5 #26), 78% (bubble if 4-6), 50% home (maybe if 6-4), 12% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 6-4
Week 2 (0-2, 101.7, #349, D5 #40), 32% (bubble if 5-5), 13% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 91.5, #429, D5 #58), 17% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye, proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 96.7, #392, D5 #49), 35% (bubble if 6-4), 19% home (maybe if 7-3), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 101.5