Region 19 home page
Region 19 projections
Region 19 playoff probabilities
Region 19 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 19 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#57 of 106 in Division 5
#10 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #23 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #69 in D5 (-304 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 29-12 A #281 West Jefferson (6-1) D6 R23, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 88
08/28 L 40-7 H #114 Licking Valley (7-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 34 (4%), perf. rating 86
09/04 L 21-14 H #332 Zane Trace (6-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 19 (14%), perf. rating 93
09/11 L 21-0 H #397 Circleville (4-3) D4 R15, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 62
09/18 L 26-6 A #200 Hamilton Township (5-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 33 (2%), perf. rating 96
09/25 W 20-13 A #529 Marietta (0-7) D3 R11, pick: W by 10 (74%), perf. rating 88
10/02 W 27-22 H #475 Logan Elm (2-5) D5 R19, pick: W by 9 (72%), perf. rating 89
10/09 H #266 Fairfield Union (5-2) D4 R15, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/16 H #585 Liberty Union (0-7) D6 R23, pick: W by 25 (95%)
10/23 A #270 Bloom-Carroll (4-3) D3 R11, pick: L by 25 (5%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
2.80 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.10 ( 5.00-10.95) 14% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Lose: 2.80 ( 1.85- 7.90) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
(11%) 4W: 6.05 ( 4.65- 8.75) 4% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(83%) 3W: 2.80 ( 2.25- 6.80) out, proj. out
( 5%) 2W: 2.40 ( 1.85- 3.95) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 6%) WWL: 6.05 ( 5.00- 8.75) 6% in, proj. out (#11-out), South Point (6-1) 61%
( 5%) LWW: 5.70 ( 4.65- 7.90) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), South Point (6-1) 83%
(83%) LWL: 2.80 ( 2.25- 4.90) out
( 5%) LLL: 2.40 ( 1.85- 3.95) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 87.5, #446, D5 #57), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (1-5, 89.1, #430, D5 #54), 2% (likely needs 5-5), no home game, proj. out at 3-7
Week 5 (0-5, 88.8, #434, D5 #57), 2% (bubble if 5-5), no home game, proj. out at 3-7
Week 4 (0-4, 86.2, #457, D5 #63), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (0-3, 95.2, #398, D5 #50), 18% (bubble if 5-5), 5% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (0-2, 90.4, #425, D5 #58), 18% (bubble if 5-5), 7% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 96.6, #392, D5 #53), 26% (bubble if 5-5), 12% home (maybe if 6-4), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 104.6, #318, D5 #38), 48% (bubble if 5-5), 31% home (maybe if 6-4), 15% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #11 at 5-5
Last season 106.3