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Rankings
#57 of 106 in Division 5
#9 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #16 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #62 in D5 (-266 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 29-12 A #239 West Jefferson (7-1) D6 R23, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 94
08/28 L 40-7 H #102 Licking Valley (8-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 34 (4%), perf. rating 87
09/04 L 21-14 H #311 Zane Trace (7-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 19 (14%), perf. rating 96
09/11 L 21-0 H #374 Circleville (5-3) D4 R15, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 64
09/18 L 26-6 A #182 Hamilton Township (6-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 33 (2%), perf. rating 97
09/25 W 20-13 A #534 Marietta (0-8) D3 R11, pick: W by 10 (74%), perf. rating 87
10/02 W 27-22 H #396 Logan Elm (3-5) D5 R19, pick: W by 9 (72%), perf. rating 100
10/09 L 40-0 H #228 Fairfield Union (6-2) D4 R15, pick: L by 23 (7%), perf. rating 57
10/16 H #577 Liberty Union (0-8) D6 R23, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/23 A #258 Bloom-Carroll (4-4) D3 R11, pick: L by 26 (4%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
3.25 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.25 ( 2.70- 7.75) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Lose: 2.85 ( 2.30- 7.40) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 4W: 6.15 ( 5.10- 7.75) 3% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(90%) 3W: 3.25 ( 2.70- 7.40) out, proj. out
( 6%) 2W: 2.85 ( 2.30- 4.50) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 4%) WW: 6.15 ( 5.10- 7.75) 3% in, proj. out (#12-out), South Point (7-1) 55%
(90%) WL: 3.25 ( 2.70- 4.90) out
( 6%) LL: 2.85 ( 2.30- 4.50) out
Weekly summary info
Week 8 (2-6, 88.2, #442, D5 #57), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 7 (2-5, 87.5, #446, D5 #57), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (1-5, 89.1, #430, D5 #54), 2% (likely needs 5-5), no home game, proj. out at 3-7
Week 5 (0-5, 88.8, #434, D5 #57), 2% (bubble if 5-5), no home game, proj. out at 3-7
Week 4 (0-4, 86.2, #457, D5 #63), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (0-3, 95.2, #398, D5 #50), 18% (bubble if 5-5), 5% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (0-2, 90.4, #425, D5 #58), 18% (bubble if 5-5), 7% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 96.6, #392, D5 #53), 26% (bubble if 5-5), 12% home (maybe if 6-4), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 104.6, #318, D5 #38), 48% (bubble if 5-5), 31% home (maybe if 6-4), 15% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #11 at 5-5
Last season 106.3