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Rankings
#99 of 106 in Division 5
#23 of 25 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #47 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #91 in D5 (-585 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 21-0 A #688 Lockland (0-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 15 (75%), perf. rating 59
08/29 L 32-0 H #440 St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (3-1) D6 R24, pick: W by 3 (56%), perf. rating 38
09/05 L 42-14 A #325 Washington (2-2) D4 R16, pick: L by 25 (8%), perf. rating 66
09/12 L 27-0 H #441 Madeira (2-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 31 (3%), perf. rating 45
09/19 A #394 Deer Park (4-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 34 (2%)
09/26 H #445 Reading (0-4) D4 R16, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/03 A #80 Indian Hill (4-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/10 H #221 Wyoming (3-1) D4 R16, pick: L by 43 (1%)
10/17 A #435 Mariemont (2-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/24 H #357 Taylor (2-2) D4 R16, pick: L by 35 (1%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
1.05 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.00 ( 2.80- 9.65) out, proj. out
Lose: 1.05 ( 0.35-10.00) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 3W: 4.95 ( 2.65-10.00) out, proj. out
(12%) 2W: 2.65 ( 0.85- 6.95) out, proj. out
(87%) 1W: 1.05 ( 0.35- 2.55) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WLLLLL: 3.90 ( 2.80- 5.80) out
( 2%) LLLLLW: 3.15 ( 1.85- 5.40) out
( 3%) LLLLWL: 2.80 ( 1.70- 4.80) out
( 4%) LWLLLL: 1.55 ( 0.85- 4.55) out
(87%) LLLLLL: 1.05 ( 0.35- 2.55) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 54.0, #633, D5 #99), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-9
Week 3 (1-2, 52.2, #635, D5 #97), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (1-1, 55.1, #619, D5 #95), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (1-0, 71.0, #556, D5 #83), 24% (bubble if 5-5), 10% home (maybe if 6-4), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 66.2, #579, D5 #84), 15% (bubble if 4-6), 6% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 67.8