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Rankings
#82 of 107 in Division 6
#19 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #19 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #88 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/28 A #444 St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 26 (10%)
09/04 H #617 Clark Montessori (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 7 (65%)
09/11 A #424 Madeira (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 28 (5%)
09/18 H #466 Deer Park (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 22 (8%)
09/25 A #482 Reading (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/02 H #77 Indian Hill (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/09 A #170 Wyoming (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 44 (1%)
10/16 H #393 Mariemont (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 28 (3%)
10/23 A #325 Taylor (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 34 (1%)
Regular season projections
1-8 record
2.00 Harbin points (divisor 90)
out of R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
10% (bubble if 4-5), 4% home (maybe if 5-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.06 ( 0.83-30.61) 42% in, 20% home, 6% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 15%
Lose: 2.11 ( 0.00-26.39) 6% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 7W: 18.92 (12.22-23.11) 100% in, 99% home, 65% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 65%
( 2%) 6W: 15.11 (10.22-21.22) 99% in, 85% home, 18% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 18%
( 3%) 5W: 11.89 ( 7.11-17.78) 90% in, 36% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), Zane Trace (0-0) 7%
( 7%) 4W: 8.89 ( 4.11-15.89) 50% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 8%
(12%) 3W: 6.28 ( 2.17-12.67) 11% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 12%
(21%) 2W: 4.00 ( 1.00- 9.78) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(31%) 1W: 2.00 ( 0.44- 5.56) out, proj. out
(24%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 7%
Anna (0-0) 7%
Zane Trace (0-0) 6%
Tri-Village (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Tri-Village (0-0) 16%
Cincinnati College Prep (0-0) 12%
Zane Trace (0-0) 11%
St Henry (0-0) 9%
Northeastern (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 61.7, #599, D6 #82), 10% (bubble if 4-5), 4% home (maybe if 5-4), proj. out at 1-8
Last season 60.4