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Rankings
#46 of 101 in Division 4
#9 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #62 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #95 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #196 Talawanda (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 16 (23%)
08/28 H #379 Batavia (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 8 (66%)
09/04 A Lawrenceburg IN (0-0) D4
09/11 A #393 Mariemont (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 5 (62%)
09/18 H #170 Wyoming (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 19 (12%)
09/25 A #77 Indian Hill (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 33 (2%)
10/02 H #482 Reading (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 22 (92%)
10/09 A #466 Deer Park (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 16 (85%)
10/16 A #424 Madeira (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/23 H #599 Finneytown (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 34 (99%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
10.53 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#12 seed in R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
51% (bubble if 5-5), 27% home (maybe if 7-3), 8% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.89 ( 1.61-32.93) 86% in, 62% home, 25% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 29%
Lose: 9.58 ( 0.00-29.70) 40% in, 17% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 7%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 28.28 (22.12-32.93) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 98%
( 4%) 9W: 24.15 (17.48-31.27) 100% home, 79% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 79%
(10%) 8W: 20.37 (13.45-25.87) 100% in, 94% home, 31% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 31%
(14%) 7W: 16.94 (11.38-23.85) 98% in, 64% home, 4% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Meadowdale (0-0) 6%
(17%) 6W: 13.56 ( 8.10-19.72) 82% in, 21% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#2-out), Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 7%
(16%) 5W: 10.53 ( 6.04-17.00) 41% in, 3% home, proj. out (#5-out), Clinton-Massie (0-0) 9%
(14%) 4W: 7.81 ( 3.82-13.42) 9% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Wyoming (0-0) 12%
(12%) 3W: 5.39 ( 1.85-12.26) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 7%) 2W: 3.22 ( 0.95- 9.69) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 3%) 1W: 1.31 ( 0.40- 5.05) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Wyoming (0-0) 6%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 6%
Meadowdale (0-0) 5%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
London (0-0) 17%
Taft (0-0) 13%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 12%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 11%
Valley View (0-0) 11%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 152.2, #50, D4 #3), 90% (bubble if 4-6), 78% home (maybe if 5-5), 55% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 7-3
Last season 95.7