Region 12 home page
Region 12 projections
Region 12 playoff probabilities
Region 12 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 12 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#13 of 102 in Division 3
#5 of 26 in Region 12
Strength of schedule #92 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #40 in D3 (-12 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 35-14 A #390 Roger Bacon (2-6) D4 R16, pick: W by 30 (92%), perf. rating 129
08/28 L 42-0 A Beechwood KY (7-0) D4
09/04 W 56-14 H #383 New Richmond (4-4) D4 R16, pick: W by 41 (99%), perf. rating 157
09/11 L 48-47 H #130 Wyoming (8-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 8 (68%), perf. rating 130
09/18 W 48-7 A #381 Mariemont (4-4) D5 R20, pick: W by 29 (97%), perf. rating 160
09/25 W 45-0 H #400 Taylor (1-7) D4 R16, pick: W by 32 (98%), perf. rating 155
10/02 W 58-0 A #646 Finneytown (0-7) D6 R24, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 107
10/09 W 35-0 H #389 Madeira (4-4) D5 R20, pick: W by 34 (99%), perf. rating 146
10/16 H #257 Deer Park (8-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/23 A #475 Reading (3-5) D4 R16, pick: W by 38 (99%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
19.47 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#9 seed in R12 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 58% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 19.47 (16.52-21.00) 100% in, 62% home, proj. #8 (#5-#11), Hughes (8-0) 36%
Lose: 15.29 (13.36-16.31) 100% in, proj. #11 (#10-#12), Goshen (8-0) 33%
Based on eventual number of wins
(93%) 8W: 19.47 (18.39-21.00) 100% in, 62% home, proj. #8 (#5-#11), Hughes (8-0) 36%
( 7%) 7W: 15.29 (14.22-18.56) 100% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-#12), Goshen (8-0) 31%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(93%) WW: 19.47 (18.39-21.00) 100% in, 62% home, proj. #8 (#5-#11), Hughes (8-0) 36%
( 1%) WL: 17.54 (16.52-18.56) 100% in, 4% home, proj. #10 (#8-#11), Hughes (8-0) 30%
( 6%) LW: 15.29 (14.22-16.31) 100% in, proj. #11 (#10-#12), Goshen (8-0) 33%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 138.5, #102, D3 #13), appears locked in, 49% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 8-2
Week 6 (4-2, 145.4, #74, D3 #7), appears locked in, 92% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 5 (3-2, 142.9, #83, D3 #10), appears locked in, 94% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 4 (2-2, 140.6, #94, D3 #13), likely in, 91% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 3 (2-1, 143.1, #73, D3 #8), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 7-3), 22% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 9-1
Week 2 (1-1, 142.2, #83, D3 #9), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 6-4), 38% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 143.0, #82, D3 #9), likely in, 95% home (maybe if 7-3), 61% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 144.4, #77, D3 #8), likely in, 95% home (maybe if 6-4), 72% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Last season 149.8