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Rankings
#16 of 101 in Division 4
#6 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #79 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #101 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #299 Ross (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 21 (83%)
08/28 H #422 Purcell Marian (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 29 (93%)
09/04 A #370 Monroe (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 23 (90%)
09/11 A #77 Indian Hill (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 21 (11%)
09/18 A #325 Taylor (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 19 (88%)
09/25 H #393 Mariemont (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/02 A #424 Madeira (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/09 H #599 Finneytown (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 44 (99%)
10/16 H #482 Reading (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 34 (99%)
10/23 A #466 Deer Park (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 31 (98%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
19.36 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#6 seed in R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
90% (bubble if 5-5), 75% home (maybe if 7-3), 38% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 20.92 ( 1.40-32.88) 94% in, 82% home, 44% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 47%
Lose: 13.81 ( 0.00-28.69) 67% in, 41% home, 10% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 15%
Based on eventual number of wins
(13%) 10W: 26.77 (20.46-32.88) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 96%
(31%) 9W: 22.58 (16.12-30.41) 99% in, 99% home, 63% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 63%
(23%) 8W: 19.36 (13.65-27.23) 99% in, 91% home, 25% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 25%
(14%) 7W: 16.23 (10.77-23.50) 97% in, 60% home, 5% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), North College Hill (0-0) 6%
( 8%) 6W: 13.31 ( 8.35-19.77) 81% in, 23% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Taylor (0-0) 7%
( 5%) 5W: 10.63 ( 5.89-18.11) 46% in, 4% home, proj. out (#5-out), Valley View (0-0) 8%
( 3%) 4W: 8.16 ( 4.32-13.72) 16% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Clinton-Massie (0-0) 13%
( 2%) 3W: 5.49 ( 2.76-10.89) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 1%) 2W: 3.42 ( 0.95- 8.02) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Meadowdale (0-0) 3%
Taylor (0-0) 3%
Kenton Ridge (0-0) 3%
North College Hill (0-0) 3%
Most likely second round opponents
Taft (0-0) 12%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 12%
Valley View (0-0) 11%
London (0-0) 11%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 11%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 47.5, #648, D4 #98), 3% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Last season 125.8