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Rankings
#53 of 105 in Division 5
#11 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #61 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #95 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #639 Clermont Northeastern (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 34 (94%)
08/28 H #678 Norwood (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 45 (99%)
09/04 A #345 Williamsburg (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 7 (35%)
09/11 H #325 Taylor (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 5 (38%)
09/18 H #77 Indian Hill (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 35 (1%)
09/25 A #170 Wyoming (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/02 H #466 Deer Park (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/09 A #482 Reading (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 11 (77%)
10/16 A #599 Finneytown (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 28 (97%)
10/23 H #424 Madeira (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 7 (68%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
11.13 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#10 seed in R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
59% (bubble if 5-5), 37% home (maybe if 6-4), 16% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.68 ( 0.85-30.21) 61% in, 39% home, 17% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 28%
Lose: 4.83 ( 0.00-24.40) 18% in, 7% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 25.31 (20.61-30.21) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 5%) 9W: 21.02 (15.41-26.83) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 97%
(12%) 8W: 17.24 (11.28-24.31) 100% in, 99% home, 62% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#12), bye 62%
(16%) 7W: 14.06 ( 9.41-21.53) 99% in, 78% home, 15% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 15%
(19%) 6W: 11.13 ( 6.69-17.75) 84% in, 27% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#2-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 7%
(18%) 5W: 8.59 ( 4.47-14.42) 39% in, 4% home, proj. out (#5-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 9%
(14%) 4W: 6.34 ( 2.81-11.60) 8% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 11%
( 9%) 3W: 4.48 ( 1.40-10.64) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 4%) 2W: 3.12 ( 0.90- 7.62) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 1.41 ( 0.40- 4.04) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 5%
Williamsburg (0-0) 5%
Greeneview (0-0) 4%
Miami East (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 11%
Brookville (0-0) 11%
Carlisle (0-0) 9%
Graham Local (0-0) 8%
Greeneview (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 75.2, #529, D5 #79), 16% (bubble if 5-5), 8% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 103.6