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Rankings
#78 of 102 in Division 4
#18 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #42 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #80 in D4 (-409 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 40-0 H #191 Goshen (8-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 15 (25%), perf. rating 63
08/28 L 32-0 A #265 Northwest (Cincy) (7-1) D3 R12, pick: L by 27 (9%), perf. rating 69
09/04 W 48-0 H #633 Woodward (Cincy) (2-6) D4 R16, pick: W by 25 (92%), perf. rating 110
09/11 L 34-7 H #257 Deer Park (8-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 21 (11%), perf. rating 73
09/18 L 38-14 A #389 Madeira (4-4) D5 R20, pick: L by 25 (6%), perf. rating 62
09/25 W 49-6 H #646 Finneytown (0-7) D6 R24, pick: W by 31 (98%), perf. rating 103
10/02 W 17-14 A #400 Taylor (1-7) D4 R16, pick: L by 25 (5%), perf. rating 101
10/09 L 22-14 H #381 Mariemont (4-4) D5 R20, pick: L by 10 (26%), perf. rating 83
10/16 A #130 Wyoming (8-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/23 H #93 Indian Hill (6-2) D3 R12, pick: L by 38 (1%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
3.42 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Lose: 3.42 ( 3.42- 8.92) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 4W: 7.91 ( 6.80- 9.43) 13% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(98%) 3W: 3.42 ( 3.42- 5.14) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LW: 7.43 ( 6.80- 8.92) 4% in, proj. out (#12-out), North College Hill (7-0) 75%
(98%) LL: 3.42 ( 3.42- 5.14) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (3-4, 85.0, #466, D4 #77), 2% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (2-4, 75.4, #525, D4 #85), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 5 (1-4, 71.8, #543, D4 #88), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 4 (1-3, 73.0, #533, D4 #86), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (1-2, 76.3, #523, D4 #83), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 71.0, #554, D4 #86), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 71.2, #550, D4 #87), 4% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 83.7, #482, D4 #76), 21% (bubble if 6-4), 8% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 79.2