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Rankings
#16 of 105 in Division 5
#5 of 27 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #8 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #19 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #141 Rocky River (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 5 (41%)
08/28 A #130 Streetsboro (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 11 (29%)
09/04 H #348 Columbia (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 23 (90%)
09/11 A #245 Canton South (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 8 (68%)
09/18 A #600 Coventry (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 42 (99%)
09/25 A #293 Tuslaw (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 15 (83%)
10/02 H #363 Fairless (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/09 H #137 Triway (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 5 (37%)
10/16 H #226 Orrville (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/23 A #202 Northwest (Canal Fult.) (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 3 (58%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
14.95 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#7 seed in R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
75% (bubble if 4-6), 59% home (maybe if 6-4), 35% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 22.15 ( 0.50-36.40) 95% in, 85% home, 61% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 65%
Lose: 12.05 ( 0.00-31.90) 61% in, 41% home, 17% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 28%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 10W: 30.15 (22.00-36.40) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(12%) 9W: 26.10 (17.60-33.25) 100% in, 99% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#9), bye 98%
(14%) 8W: 22.20 (15.05-29.90) 100% in, 99% home, 81% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 81%
(15%) 7W: 18.45 (11.70-27.05) 99% in, 96% home, 32% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 32%
(14%) 6W: 14.95 ( 9.05-22.35) 98% in, 66% home, 4% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Liberty (0-0) 8%
(12%) 5W: 11.75 ( 6.55-18.50) 80% in, 18% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Crestview (Columbiana) (0-0) 8%
(10%) 4W: 8.85 ( 4.30-15.15) 33% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Girard (0-0) 9%
( 7%) 3W: 6.20 ( 2.55-11.95) 4% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 5%) 2W: 3.75 ( 1.35- 9.00) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 3%) 1W: 1.40 ( 0.45- 5.75) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Liberty (0-0) 4%
Martins Ferry (0-0) 4%
Berkshire (0-0) 4%
Garfield (0-0) 3%
Most likely second round opponents
Barnesville (0-0) 11%
Perry (0-0) 11%
Girard (0-0) 11%
Cardinal Mooney (0-0) 10%
Crestview (Columbiana) (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 103.6, #332, D5 #41), 67% (bubble if 6-4), 35% home (maybe if 8-2), 8% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #11 at 7-3
Last season 123.2