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Rankings
#14 of 106 in Division 5
#6 of 28 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #7 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #23 in D5 (+95 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 28-7 H #74 Rocky River (7-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 5 (41%), perf. rating 111
08/28 L 36-35 A #159 Streetsboro (5-2) D4 R13, pick: L by 15 (23%), perf. rating 129
09/04 L 32-31 H #167 Columbia (7-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 2 (46%), perf. rating 124
09/11 W 37-13 A #420 Canton South (0-7) D4 R15, pick: W by 21 (89%), perf. rating 130
09/18 W 56-0 A #605 Coventry (1-6) D4 R13, pick: W by 43 (99%), perf. rating 122
09/25 W 49-0 A #359 Tuslaw (2-5) D5 R17, pick: W by 17 (86%), perf. rating 166
10/02 W 27-21 H #277 Fairless (3-4) D5 R17, pick: W by 21 (91%), perf. rating 119
10/09 H #90 Triway (6-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 11 (23%)
10/16 H #218 Orrville (6-1) D4 R13, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/23 A #209 Northwest (Canal Fult.) (6-1) D4 R13, pick: W by 4 (60%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
15.20 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#9 seed in R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
85% (likely needs 5-5), 17% home (likely needs 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 19.15 (10.25-20.15) 100% in, 65% home, proj. #7 (#5-#12), Liberty (6-1) 31%
Lose: 11.25 ( 6.40-15.85) 81% in, 2% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Liberty (6-1) 43%
Based on eventual number of wins
(15%) 7W: 19.50 (18.60-20.15) 100% in, 99% home, proj. #7 (#5-#9), Canton Central Catholic (4-3) 44%
(38%) 6W: 15.20 (14.20-16.25) 100% in, 6% home, proj. #9 (#7-#11), Liberty (6-1) 62%
(32%) 5W: 10.85 ( 9.95-12.30) 99% in, proj. #10 (#9-out), Martins Ferry (7-0) 29%
(15%) 4W: 6.90 ( 6.40- 7.95) 2% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(15%) WWW: 19.50 (18.60-20.15) 100% in, 99% home, proj. #7 (#5-#9), Canton Central Catholic (4-3) 44%
( 2%) WLW: 15.55 (14.55-16.10) 100% in, 7% home, proj. #9 (#7-#10), Liberty (6-1) 60%
(31%) LWW: 15.20 (14.25-15.85) 100% in, 5% home, proj. #9 (#7-#11), Liberty (6-1) 62%
( 5%) WWL: 15.15 (14.20-16.25) 100% in, 6% home, proj. #9 (#7-#11), Liberty (6-1) 62%
(10%) LLW: 11.25 (10.75-11.90) 99% in, proj. #10 (#9-out), Liberty (6-1) 30%
( 2%) WLL: 11.25 (10.25-11.85) 100% in, proj. #10 (#9-#12), Liberty (6-1) 32%
(20%) LWL: 10.85 ( 9.95-12.30) 99% in, proj. #10 (#9-out), Martins Ferry (7-0) 31%
(15%) LLL: 6.90 ( 6.40- 7.95) 2% in, proj. out (#12-out), Conneaut (6-1) 50%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 127.1, #168, D5 #14), 85% (likely needs 5-5), 17% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 6 (3-3, 127.2, #169, D5 #15), 85% (likely needs 5-5), 25% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 5 (2-3, 123.2, #197, D5 #18), 68% (likely needs 5-5), 21% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #10 at 5-5
Week 4 (1-3, 121.6, #205, D5 #20), 63% (likely needs 5-5), 27% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye, proj. #11 at 5-5
Week 3 (0-3, 119.8, #225, D5 #20), 59% (likely needs 5-5), 27% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #10 at 5-5
Week 2 (0-2, 119.1, #228, D5 #21), 57% (likely needs 5-5), 36% home (maybe if 6-4), 12% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #11 at 5-5
Week 1 (0-1, 116.0, #240, D5 #23), 58% (bubble if 4-6), 38% home (maybe if 6-4), 15% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 124.8, #175, D5 #16), 74% (bubble if 4-6), 57% home (maybe if 6-4), 35% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #7 at 6-4
Last season 123.2