Region 12 home page
Region 12 projections
Region 12 playoff probabilities
Region 12 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 12 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#70 of 107 in Division 3
#17 of 26 in Region 12
Strength of schedule #26 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #94 in D3 (-643 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 17-0 A #228 Butler (3-1) D2 R8, pick: L by 19 (19%), perf. rating 95
08/29 L 20-7 H #107 Valley View (3-1) D4 R16, pick: L by 29 (7%), perf. rating 118
09/05 L 24-17 A #321 Bishop Fenwick (2-2) D4 R16, pick: W by 7 (65%), perf. rating 98
09/12 L 35-10 A #171 Talawanda (4-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 24 (8%), perf. rating 92
09/19 H #336 Carlisle (3-1) D5 R20, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/26 A #412 Monroe (1-3) D2 R8, pick: W by 7 (67%)
10/03 H #96 Bellbrook (2-2) D3 R12, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/10 A #309 Ross (2-2) D3 R12, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/17 H #178 Edgewood (Trenton) (1-3) D2 R8, pick: L by 21 (8%)
10/24 H #190 Brookville (4-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 20 (9%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
4.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R12 playoffs
Playoff chances now
2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.90 ( 1.80-19.00) 4% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Jackson (3-1) 21%
Lose: 1.65 ( 0.00-14.75) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 5W: 13.60 (11.50-16.25) 59% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Jackson (3-1) 22%
( 8%) 4W: 10.30 ( 7.45-14.05) 6% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(18%) 3W: 7.10 ( 4.65-11.35) out, proj. out
(27%) 2W: 4.40 ( 2.85- 8.05) out, proj. out
(27%) 1W: 1.65 ( 1.10- 4.65) out, proj. out
(17%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WWLWWW: 13.55 (11.50-15.65) 54% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), Jackson (3-1) 28%
( 3%) WWLWLW: 10.75 ( 8.35-12.95) 8% in, proj. out (#11-out), Talawanda (4-0) 24%
(10%) WWLWLL: 6.65 ( 5.15- 9.40) out
(15%) WWLLLL: 4.40 ( 2.95- 7.00) out
( 5%) LWLWLL: 3.85 ( 3.35- 5.55) out
( 8%) WLLLLL: 2.75 ( 1.80- 4.20) out
(15%) LWLLLL: 1.65 ( 1.15- 2.80) out
(17%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 102.5, #353, D3 #70), 2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (0-3, 105.1, #338, D3 #66), 9% (bubble if 5-5), 2% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 108.1, #307, D3 #62), 16% (bubble if 5-5), 5% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 106.2, #313, D3 #65), 20% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 108.1, #290, D3 #59), 33% (bubble if 5-5), 15% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 108.6