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Rankings
#54 of 100 in Division 2
#15 of 25 in Region 8
Strength of schedule #48 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #66 in D2 (-364 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 28-3 A #130 Wyoming (8-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 21 (17%), perf. rating 98
08/28 W 57-0 H #639 Thurgood Marshall (1-7) D3 R12, pick: W by 44 (99%), perf. rating 106
09/04 L 14-12 A #265 Northwest (Cincy) (7-1) D3 R12, pick: L by 10 (29%), perf. rating 113
09/11 L 34-14 A #301 Wilmington (4-4) D4 R16, pick: L by 10 (28%), perf. rating 82
09/18 L 28-7 H #40 Harrison (7-1) D2 R8, pick: L by 39 (1%), perf. rating 123
09/25 W 14-7 H #166 Talawanda (6-2) D2 R8, pick: L by 26 (5%), perf. rating 135
10/02 L 42-21 H #190 Edgewood (Trenton) (4-4) D2 R8, pick: L by 12 (22%), perf. rating 91
10/09 W 42-0 A #478 Franklin (0-8) D3 R12, pick: W by 16 (85%), perf. rating 148
10/16 H #251 Monroe (5-3) D3 R12, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/23 A #46 Bellbrook (8-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 34 (1%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
6.30 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R8 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.55 ( 8.55-16.05) 2% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Lose: 6.30 ( 5.30-12.20) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
(47%) 4W: 9.55 ( 8.55-12.20) out, proj. out
(52%) 3W: 6.30 ( 5.30- 7.35) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(46%) WL: 9.55 ( 8.55-11.25) out
(52%) LL: 6.30 ( 5.30- 7.35) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 108.5, #307, D2 #63), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (2-4, 111.4, #284, D2 #56), 3% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 5 (1-4, 102.5, #351, D2 #68), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 2-8
Week 4 (1-3, 101.8, #349, D2 #68), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (1-2, 104.8, #332, D2 #64), 3% (likely needs 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 102.8, #341, D2 #66), 8% (bubble if 5-5), 2% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 102.4, #351, D2 #70), 14% (bubble if 6-4), 5% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 106.8, #299, D2 #62), 26% (bubble if 6-4), 13% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 105.0