Region 20 home page
Region 20 projections
Region 20 playoff probabilities
Region 20 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 20 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#67 of 106 in Division 5
#17 of 25 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #88 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #72 in D5 (-288 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 34-14 A #551 Shawnee (Springfield) (0-4) D4 R16, pick: L by 28 (10%), perf. rating 103
08/29 L 42-7 A #393 Northwestern (Sprfd.) (3-1) D4 R16, pick: L by 21 (15%), perf. rating 47
09/05 L 24-21 H #295 West Jefferson (4-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 26 (7%), perf. rating 103
09/12 W 34-0 A #674 Triad (0-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 33 (98%), perf. rating 88
09/19 H #417 West Liberty-Salem (2-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 6 (35%)
09/26 A #620 Southeastern Local (0-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/03 A #506 Cedarville (2-2) D7 R28, pick: W by 4 (60%)
10/10 H #578 Catholic Cent. (Sprfd.) (3-1) D7 R28, pick: W by 20 (91%)
10/17 A #396 Greeneview (2-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 13 (20%)
10/24 H #583 Madison-Plains (0-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 21 (92%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
6.90 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
24% (bubble if 7-3), 5% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.00 ( 2.80-13.40) 51% in, 12% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Purcell Marian (2-2) 13%
Lose: 5.65 ( 0.90-11.90) 9% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Miami East (3-1) 17%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 9%) 8W: 11.65 (10.95-13.40) 99% in, 44% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Purcell Marian (2-2) 16%
(23%) 7W: 9.25 ( 8.15-12.10) 60% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Miami East (3-1) 18%
(29%) 6W: 6.90 ( 5.75-10.60) 3% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(23%) 5W: 4.70 ( 3.55- 8.65) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(11%) 4W: 3.20 ( 2.00- 6.15) out, proj. out
( 4%) 3W: 1.70 ( 1.25- 4.00) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 9%) WWWWWW: 11.65 (10.95-13.40) 99% in, 44% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Purcell Marian (2-2) 16%
( 7%) LWWWWW: 9.65 ( 9.40-11.90) 77% in, 3% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Miami East (3-1) 17%
(13%) WWWWLW: 8.85 ( 8.30-11.55) 48% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Miami East (3-1) 19%
(18%) LWWWLW: 6.90 ( 6.70- 9.15) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out), Preble Shawnee (4-0) 25%
( 5%) WWLWLW: 6.55 ( 5.75- 8.40) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out), North College Hill (4-0) 40%
(14%) LWLWLW: 4.55 ( 4.20- 6.90) out
( 4%) LWLWLL: 3.50 ( 3.10- 5.60) out
( 2%) LWLLLL: 1.43 ( 1.25- 3.60) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 84.7, #456, D5 #67), 24% (bubble if 7-3), 5% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Week 3 (1-2, 82.9, #484, D5 #68), 22% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 77.7, #525, D5 #78), 14% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 86.0, #465, D5 #68), 40% (bubble if 6-4), 18% home (maybe if 8-2), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 65.1, #585, D5 #86), 12% (bubble if 6-4), 4% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 64.8