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Rankings
#92 of 105 in Division 5
#21 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #31 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #95 in D5 (-780 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 20-6 H #560 Southeastern Local (2-1) D7 R28, pick: W by 32 (93%), perf. rating 47
08/28 L 43-6 A #495 Greenon (2-1) D5 R20, pick: L by 13 (26%), perf. rating 27
09/04 L 48-7 H #255 Miami East (3-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 38 (2%), perf. rating 52
09/11 A #569 Tecumseh (0-3) D3 R12, pick: L by 13 (22%)
09/18 H #242 Kenton Ridge (2-1) D4 R16, pick: L by 41 (1%)
09/25 H #545 Shawnee (Springfield) (1-2) D4 R16, pick: L by 14 (19%)
10/02 H #200 Graham Local (3-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 43 (1%)
10/09 A #184 North Union (3-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 46 (1%)
10/16 A #252 Benjamin Logan (1-2) D4 R14, pick: L by 42 (1%)
10/23 H #265 Indian Lake (2-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 39 (1%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 0.55 ( 0.55-10.35) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00-10.05) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 3W: 4.40 ( 3.40-10.05) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 9%) 2W: 1.60 ( 1.60- 7.40) out, proj. out
(28%) 1W: 1.05 ( 0.55- 4.70) out, proj. out
(62%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLLWLLL: 3.25 ( 1.80- 4.70) out
( 1%) LLLLWLL: 3.15 ( 1.65- 4.60) out
( 1%) LWLLLLL: 3.10 ( 1.55- 4.70) out
( 1%) LLLLLWL: 2.90 ( 0.95- 3.90) out
( 7%) WLWLLLL: 1.60 ( 1.60- 3.15) out
(12%) LLWLLLL: 1.05 ( 1.05- 2.45) out
(13%) WLLLLLL: 0.55 ( 0.55- 1.60) out
(62%) LLLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (0-3, 56.5, #610, D5 #92), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 60.6, #604, D5 #90), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 1 (0-1, 69.4, #563, D5 #83), 5% (bubble if 5-5), 2% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 90.1, #442, D5 #61), 39% (bubble if 6-4), 23% home (maybe if 7-3), 11% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 90.0