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Rankings
#61 of 105 in Division 5
#14 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #44 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #98 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #632 Southeastern Local (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 32 (93%)
08/28 A #483 Greenon (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 5 (60%)
09/04 H #380 Miami East (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 6 (37%)
09/11 A #520 Tecumseh (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 12 (76%)
09/18 H #303 Kenton Ridge (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 14 (19%)
09/25 H #536 Shawnee (Springfield) (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 18 (87%)
10/02 H #273 Graham Local (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 19 (11%)
10/09 A #304 North Union (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 18 (12%)
10/16 A #301 Benjamin Logan (0-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 18 (12%)
10/23 H #195 Indian Lake (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 27 (4%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
8.05 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
38% (bubble if 5-5), 23% home (maybe if 7-3), 11% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.60 ( 0.35-29.95) 40% in, 24% home, 11% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 28%
Lose: 2.55 ( 0.00-21.60) 12% in, 5% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 22.75 (16.75-29.95) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#6), bye 99%
( 5%) 9W: 19.30 (13.25-25.50) 100% in, 99% home, 84% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 84%
( 8%) 8W: 16.10 (10.95-22.00) 99% in, 93% home, 44% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 44%
(10%) 7W: 13.05 ( 8.35-19.85) 97% in, 61% home, 8% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 9%
(12%) 6W: 10.45 ( 5.95-17.75) 72% in, 18% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#2-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 7%
(14%) 5W: 8.05 ( 4.00-13.85) 29% in, 2% home, proj. out (#5-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 11%
(15%) 4W: 5.80 ( 2.35-12.70) 4% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Purcell Marian (0-0) 10%
(14%) 3W: 3.80 ( 1.35- 9.15) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(12%) 2W: 2.05 ( 0.80- 7.55) out, proj. out
( 6%) 1W: 0.75 ( 0.35- 4.10) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 5%
Purcell Marian (0-0) 4%
Williamsburg (0-0) 4%
Greeneview (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Brookville (0-0) 10%
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 9%
Carlisle (0-0) 9%
Graham Local (0-0) 8%
Williamsburg (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 80.4, #494, D5 #71), 25% (bubble if 5-5), 13% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 90.0