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Rankings
#84 of 102 in Division 4
#19 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #26 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #78 in D4 (-417 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 13-12 A #503 Greenon (5-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 12 (29%), perf. rating 81
08/28 L 38-6 A #375 Brookville (4-3) D5 R20, pick: L by 23 (12%), perf. rating 52
09/04 W 34-30 H #522 Tecumseh (1-6) D3 R12, pick: W by 9 (69%), perf. rating 81
09/11 L 40-0 A #204 Kenton Ridge (6-1) D4 R16, pick: L by 35 (2%), perf. rating 64
09/18 L 35-0 H #106 Jonathan Alder (6-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 45 (1%), perf. rating 84
09/25 W 32-0 A #632 Northwestern (Sprfd.) (0-7) D5 R20, pick: W by 22 (92%), perf. rating 100
10/02 L 46-14 H #234 Indian Lake (4-3) D5 R18, pick: L by 31 (2%), perf. rating 68
10/09 A #142 Graham Local (6-1) D5 R20, pick: L by 40 (1%)
10/16 H #154 North Union (5-2) D5 R18, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/23 H #191 Benjamin Logan (3-4) D4 R14, pick: L by 35 (1%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
1.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Lose: 1.45 ( 1.45- 7.45) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 3W: 4.50 ( 3.95- 6.15) out, proj. out
(97%) 2W: 1.45 ( 1.45- 3.00) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLW: 4.40 ( 3.95- 4.95) out
(97%) LLL: 1.45 ( 1.45- 3.00) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 77.0, #520, D4 #84), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 2-8
Week 6 (2-4, 77.1, #514, D4 #82), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 5 (1-4, 74.0, #532, D4 #84), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 2-8
Week 4 (1-3, 73.4, #531, D4 #85), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (1-2, 72.9, #545, D4 #87), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 76.7, #517, D4 #81), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 77.2, #510, D4 #81), 3% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 73.8, #536, D4 #83), 6% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 72.0