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Rankings
#83 of 101 in Division 4
#20 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #37 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #92 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #483 Greenon (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 12 (29%)
08/28 A #199 Brookville (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 37 (3%)
09/04 H #520 Tecumseh (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/11 A #303 Kenton Ridge (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 29 (4%)
09/18 H #185 Jonathan Alder (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 36 (1%)
09/25 A #442 Northwestern (Sprfd.) (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 18 (13%)
10/02 H #195 Indian Lake (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 35 (1%)
10/09 A #273 Graham Local (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/16 H #304 North Union (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/23 H #301 Benjamin Logan (0-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 27 (4%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
2.85 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
6% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.35 ( 0.45-28.15) 16% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Taft (0-0) 6%
Lose: 1.10 ( 0.00-26.00) 2% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Wyoming (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 8W: 18.50 (14.00-22.20) 99% in, 79% home, 8% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), Dunbar (0-0) 10%
( 2%) 7W: 15.40 (10.35-21.70) 92% in, 38% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Valley View (0-0) 7%
( 3%) 6W: 12.45 ( 8.00-18.50) 63% in, 11% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Wyoming (0-0) 7%
( 5%) 5W: 9.50 ( 5.00-15.40) 21% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Valley View (0-0) 10%
( 8%) 4W: 7.05 ( 3.55-13.15) 3% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
(13%) 3W: 4.85 ( 1.45-10.90) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(19%) 2W: 2.85 ( 0.95- 8.20) out, proj. out
(25%) 1W: 1.10 ( 0.45- 5.25) out, proj. out
(24%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Wyoming (0-0) 7%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 6%
Meadowdale (0-0) 6%
Valley View (0-0) 6%
Taft (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
London (0-0) 17%
Taft (0-0) 16%
Valley View (0-0) 12%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 11%
Wyoming (0-0) 11%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 105.5, #312, D4 #44), 47% (bubble if 4-6), 24% home (maybe if 6-4), 7% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #11 at 4-6
Last season 72.0