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Rankings
#84 of 102 in Division 4
#20 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #28 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #69 in D4 (-350 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 13-12 A #496 Greenon (5-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 12 (29%), perf. rating 81
08/28 L 38-6 A #404 Brookville (4-4) D5 R20, pick: L by 23 (12%), perf. rating 48
09/04 W 34-30 H #519 Tecumseh (1-7) D3 R12, pick: W by 9 (69%), perf. rating 81
09/11 L 40-0 A #185 Kenton Ridge (7-1) D4 R16, pick: L by 35 (2%), perf. rating 67
09/18 L 35-0 H #126 Jonathan Alder (6-2) D3 R11, pick: L by 45 (1%), perf. rating 80
09/25 W 32-0 A #627 Northwestern (Sprfd.) (0-8) D5 R20, pick: W by 22 (92%), perf. rating 101
10/02 L 46-14 H #164 Indian Lake (5-3) D5 R18, pick: L by 31 (2%), perf. rating 78
10/09 L 49-0 A #139 Graham Local (7-1) D5 R20, pick: L by 40 (1%), perf. rating 71
10/16 H #172 North Union (6-2) D5 R18, pick: L by 36 (1%)
10/23 H #242 Benjamin Logan (3-5) D4 R14, pick: L by 31 (2%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
1.45 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.53 ( 4.53- 7.05) out, proj. out
Lose: 1.45 ( 1.45- 4.48) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 3W: 3.97 ( 3.97- 5.49) out, proj. out
(97%) 2W: 1.45 ( 1.45- 2.46) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WL: 4.53 ( 4.53- 5.49) out
( 2%) LW: 3.97 ( 3.97- 4.48) out
(97%) LL: 1.45 ( 1.45- 2.46) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 77.0, #519, D4 #84), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 2-8
Week 6 (2-4, 77.1, #514, D4 #82), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 5 (1-4, 74.0, #532, D4 #84), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 2-8
Week 4 (1-3, 73.4, #531, D4 #85), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (1-2, 72.9, #545, D4 #87), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 76.7, #517, D4 #81), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 77.2, #510, D4 #81), 3% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 73.8, #536, D4 #83), 6% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 72.0