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Rankings
#93 of 105 in Division 4
#22 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #31 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #96 in D4 (-738 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 34-14 H #456 Greenon (2-2) D5 R20, pick: W by 28 (90%), perf. rating 53
08/29 L 49-7 H #190 Brookville (4-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 32 (5%), perf. rating 60
09/05 L 14-12 A #542 Tecumseh (2-2) D3 R12, pick: L by 12 (25%), perf. rating 72
09/12 L 42-14 H #244 Kenton Ridge (3-1) D4 R16, pick: L by 34 (2%), perf. rating 73
09/19 A #191 Jonathan Alder (4-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 39 (1%)
09/26 H #393 Northwestern (Sprfd.) (3-1) D4 R16, pick: L by 22 (8%)
10/03 A #299 Indian Lake (2-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/10 H #222 Graham Local (4-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 35 (1%)
10/17 A #367 North Union (2-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/24 A #275 Benjamin Logan (2-2) D4 R14, pick: L by 33 (1%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.50 ( 2.95-11.70) 3% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00-11.30) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 2W: 4.47 ( 2.95- 7.15) out, proj. out
(16%) 1W: 1.85 ( 1.25- 5.05) out, proj. out
(81%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLLWLL: 3.30 ( 2.30- 4.20) out
( 2%) LLLLLW: 2.50 ( 1.45- 3.85) out
( 6%) LWLLLL: 1.85 ( 1.85- 3.75) out
( 2%) LLWLLL: 1.75 ( 1.25- 3.70) out
( 5%) LLLLWL: 1.70 ( 1.25- 3.65) out
(81%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 71.6, #551, D4 #93), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 3 (0-3, 70.4, #557, D4 #93), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 67.0, #581, D4 #94), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 1 (0-1, 74.0, #542, D4 #91), 4% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 94.8, #406, D4 #68), 30% (bubble if 7-3), 12% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 81.1