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Rankings
#38 of 100 in Division 2
#11 of 25 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #32 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #69 in D2 (-380 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 33-28 H #120 Westland (6-2) D1 R2, pick: L by 5 (41%), perf. rating 125
08/28 W 35-14 A #258 Bloom-Carroll (4-4) D3 R11, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 148
09/04 L 21-20 A #101 Licking Valley (8-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 11 (27%), perf. rating 139
09/11 L 6-0 H #266 Lancaster (2-6) D1 R3, pick: W by 21 (89%), perf. rating 103
09/18 L 34-28 A #92 Reynoldsburg (5-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 10 (27%), perf. rating 132
09/25 L 21-12 H #145 Groveport Madison (5-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 5 (38%), perf. rating 115
10/02 L 19-7 H #78 Canal Winchester (5-3) D2 R7, pick: L by 14 (18%), perf. rating 122
10/09 W 49-10 A #344 Newark (3-5) D1 R3, pick: W by 15 (84%), perf. rating 163
10/16 H #76 Pickerington Central (5-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 12 (21%)
10/23 A #493 Logan (1-7) D2 R7, pick: W by 35 (99%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
7.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
2% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.45 ( 9.20-12.75) 8% in, proj. out (#11-out), Louisville (6-2) 40%
Lose: 7.00 ( 5.35- 8.30) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
(21%) 4W: 11.45 ( 9.85-12.75) 8% in, proj. out (#11-out), Louisville (6-2) 40%
(78%) 3W: 7.00 ( 6.05-10.95) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(21%) WW: 11.45 ( 9.85-12.75) 8% in, proj. out (#11-out), Louisville (6-2) 40%
(78%) LW: 7.00 ( 6.05- 8.30) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (1-6, 124.8, #186, D2 #46), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (1-5, 125.3, #181, D2 #46), 5% (likely needs 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 5 (1-4, 126.4, #176, D2 #43), 21% (likely needs 5-5), 4% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 4-6
Week 4 (1-3, 124.9, #184, D2 #47), 21% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 4-6
Week 3 (1-2, 133.2, #130, D2 #38), 64% (bubble if 5-5), 37% home (likely needs 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 132.3, #136, D2 #40), 57% (bubble if 5-5), 30% home (maybe if 7-3), 8% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 1 (0-1, 124.0, #185, D2 #49), 35% (bubble if 5-5), 17% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 124.9, #173, D2 #48), 40% (bubble if 5-5), 23% home (maybe if 7-3), 10% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 125.7