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Rankings
#63 of 79 in Division 1
#17 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #73 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #72 in D1 (-520 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 20-15 H #74 Hilliard Darby (4-4) D1 R2, pick: L by 6 (39%), perf. rating 134
08/28 L 28-13 A #233 Delaware Hayes (3-5) D1 R3, pick: L by 11 (29%), perf. rating 98
09/04 L 15-10 A #298 Marysville (3-5) D1 R2, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 105
09/11 W 6-0 A #151 Teays Valley (2-6) D2 R7, pick: L by 21 (11%), perf. rating 140
09/18 L 27-14 H #145 Groveport Madison (5-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 9 (28%), perf. rating 109
09/25 L 40-7 H #76 Pickerington Central (5-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 20 (10%), perf. rating 92
10/02 W 35-22 A #493 Logan (1-7) D2 R7, pick: W by 30 (97%), perf. rating 102
10/09 L 27-14 H #92 Reynoldsburg (5-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 23 (7%), perf. rating 118
10/16 H #78 Canal Winchester (5-3) D2 R7, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/23 A #344 Newark (3-5) D1 R3, pick: W by 9 (72%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
6.05 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.40 ( 7.25-12.35) out, proj. out
Lose: 6.05 ( 3.55- 7.35) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 4W: 10.40 ( 9.75-12.35) out, proj. out
(69%) 3W: 6.05 ( 6.05- 8.55) out, proj. out
(26%) 2W: 3.55 ( 3.55- 4.85) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 5%) WW: 10.40 ( 9.75-12.35) out
(68%) LW: 6.05 ( 6.05- 7.35) out
(26%) LL: 3.55 ( 3.55- 4.85) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 112.7, #271, D1 #65), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (1-5, 115.7, #248, D1 #61), 2% (bubble if 5-5), no home game, proj. out at 3-7
Week 5 (1-4, 119.7, #221, D1 #60), 9% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 4 (1-3, 120.3, #215, D1 #60), 20% (bubble if 5-5), 4% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (0-3, 113.6, #266, D1 #69), 10% (likely needs 5-5), 2% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 114.6, #257, D1 #65), 16% (bubble if 5-5), 5% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 114.9, #247, D1 #64), 22% (bubble if 5-5), 8% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 115.3, #244, D1 #63), 32% (bubble if 5-5), 14% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 114.4