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Rankings
#63 of 80 in Division 1
#16 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #70 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #43 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #187 Hilliard Darby (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 6 (39%)
08/28 A #249 Delaware Hayes (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/04 A #171 Marysville (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 12 (25%)
09/11 A #173 Teays Valley (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 12 (24%)
09/18 H #90 Groveport Madison (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 23 (8%)
09/25 H #26 Pickerington Central (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 34 (2%)
10/02 A #507 Logan (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 30 (97%)
10/09 H #239 Reynoldsburg (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 2 (55%)
10/16 H #75 Canal Winchester (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 25 (5%)
10/23 A #184 Newark (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 11 (23%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
7.95 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
33% (bubble if 5-5), 14% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.75 ( 0.65-37.85) 55% in, 28% home, 8% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), bye 14%
Lose: 4.30 ( 0.00-32.25) 19% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 29.65 (23.25-37.85) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 95%
( 3%) 9W: 24.95 (19.15-32.25) 100% in, 99% home, 49% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#9), bye 49%
( 5%) 8W: 20.95 (14.20-31.05) 99% in, 87% home, 13% bye, proj. #6 (#2-out), bye 13%
( 8%) 7W: 17.10 ( 8.75-26.05) 98% in, 49% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 9%
(10%) 6W: 13.70 ( 6.25-21.35) 83% in, 17% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 10%
(11%) 5W: 10.55 ( 4.45-19.65) 50% in, 3% home, proj. out (#6-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 12%
(14%) 4W: 7.95 ( 3.10-15.90) 17% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 14%
(15%) 3W: 5.30 ( 1.90-14.15) 3% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
(16%) 2W: 3.00 ( 1.25- 9.80) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(13%) 1W: 1.15 ( 0.60- 6.45) out, proj. out
( 5%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Groveport Madison (0-0) 9%
Westerville South (0-0) 7%
Olentangy (0-0) 7%
Worthington Kilbourne (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Olentangy Orange (0-0) 17%
Pickerington North (0-0) 12%
Pickerington Central (0-0) 12%
Upper Arlington (0-0) 12%
Olentangy Liberty (0-0) 11%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 115.3, #244, D1 #63), 33% (bubble if 5-5), 14% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 114.4