Region 3 home page
Region 3 projections
Region 3 playoff probabilities
Region 3 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 3 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#71 of 80 in Division 1
#19 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #77 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #64 in D1 (-303 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 16-12 H #384 Licking Heights (0-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 26 (88%), perf. rating 101
08/28 W 34-14 A #356 Mount Vernon (1-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 7 (64%), perf. rating 134
09/04 L 32-14 H #340 Zanesville (2-1) D3 R11, pick: W by 30 (95%), perf. rating 75
09/11 A #162 Groveport Madison (2-1) D1 R3, pick: L by 22 (10%)
09/18 H #500 Logan (1-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 26 (95%)
09/25 A #107 Canal Winchester (1-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 28 (4%)
10/02 A #86 Pickerington Central (0-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 30 (3%)
10/09 H #130 Teays Valley (1-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/16 A #160 Reynoldsburg (1-2) D1 R3, pick: L by 22 (7%)
10/23 H #266 Lancaster (0-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 5 (37%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
6.80 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
8% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.80 ( 5.00-26.85) 41% in, 9% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Olentangy Orange (2-1) 13%
Lose: 6.00 ( 2.35-23.10) 5% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Worthington Kilbourne (3-0) 18%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 7W: 16.50 (13.90-20.85) 98% in, 29% home, proj. #9 (#6-out), St Charles (3-0) 18%
( 6%) 6W: 12.75 ( 9.90-18.70) 69% in, 2% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Worthington Kilbourne (3-0) 15%
(15%) 5W: 9.55 ( 6.70-15.20) 12% in, proj. out (#9-out), Worthington Kilbourne (3-0) 23%
(33%) 4W: 6.80 ( 4.75-13.00) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(41%) 3W: 4.95 ( 3.40-10.65) out, proj. out
( 4%) 2W: 3.75 ( 2.35- 6.60) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWLLWWW: 16.60 (14.85-20.05) 99% in, 28% home, proj. #9 (#6-out), St Charles (3-0) 19%
( 4%) LWLLLWW: 9.30 ( 7.30-13.95) 12% in, proj. out (#9-out), Worthington Kilbourne (3-0) 27%
( 4%) LWLLWLW: 9.30 ( 7.15-14.35) 7% in, proj. out (#11-out), Worthington Kilbourne (3-0) 27%
( 3%) LWLLWLL: 7.70 ( 5.30-13.00) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out), Pickerington North (2-1) 38%
( 4%) LWLLLWL: 7.35 ( 5.40-12.10) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out), Olentangy Berlin (2-1) 33%
(21%) LWLLLLW: 6.40 ( 4.75-10.45) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Groveport Madison (2-1) 50%
(40%) LWLLLLL: 4.95 ( 3.50- 9.40) out
( 4%) LLLLLLL: 3.75 ( 2.35- 6.60) out
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (2-1, 107.0, #313, D1 #71), 8% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (2-0, 122.3, #202, D1 #60), 48% (bubble if 6-4), 17% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #12 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 116.6, #236, D1 #62), 40% (bubble if 6-4), 12% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 123.9, #184, D1 #55), 55% (bubble if 6-4), 22% home (maybe if 8-2), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #12 at 6-4
Last season 123.0