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Rankings
#55 of 80 in Division 1
#13 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #76 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #45 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #385 Licking Heights (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 26 (88%)
08/28 A #287 Mount Vernon (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 12 (73%)
09/04 H #574 Zanesville (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 41 (99%)
09/11 A #90 Groveport Madison (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 19 (13%)
09/18 H #507 Logan (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 36 (99%)
09/25 A #75 Canal Winchester (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 22 (8%)
10/02 A #26 Pickerington Central (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/09 H #173 Teays Valley (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/16 A #239 Reynoldsburg (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 6 (65%)
10/23 H #244 Lancaster (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 11 (77%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
11.65 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#12 seed in R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
55% (bubble if 6-4), 22% home (maybe if 8-2), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.95 ( 0.65-34.10) 60% in, 24% home, 4% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 10%
Lose: 5.45 ( 0.00-26.25) 17% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 28.05 (23.75-34.10) 100% home, 88% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 88%
( 6%) 9W: 23.15 (17.80-32.45) 100% in, 98% home, 29% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#10), bye 29%
(12%) 8W: 18.70 (13.35-28.10) 99% in, 72% home, 3% bye, proj. #8 (#3-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 9%
(17%) 7W: 15.00 ( 9.60-25.10) 95% in, 25% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 10%
(19%) 6W: 11.65 ( 7.40-21.00) 68% in, 4% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 12%
(18%) 5W: 8.90 ( 5.40-17.00) 26% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 12%
(14%) 4W: 6.35 ( 3.55-12.85) 5% in, proj. out (#9-out), Pickerington North (0-0) 17%
( 8%) 3W: 4.25 ( 2.30-11.55) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 3%) 2W: 2.25 ( 1.15- 7.15) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 1%) 1W: 0.95 ( 0.55- 4.90) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Groveport Madison (0-0) 10%
Worthington Kilbourne (0-0) 7%
Westerville South (0-0) 7%
Olentangy Berlin (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Olentangy Orange (0-0) 19%
Pickerington North (0-0) 12%
Pickerington Central (0-0) 12%
Upper Arlington (0-0) 11%
Olentangy Liberty (0-0) 11%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 123.9, #184, D1 #55), 55% (bubble if 6-4), 22% home (maybe if 8-2), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #12 at 6-4
Last season 123.0