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Rankings
#42 of 79 in Division 1
#10 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #50 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #37 in D1 (-13 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 42-23 A #43 Whitmer (6-1) D1 R2, pick: L by 33 (7%), perf. rating 129
08/28 W 42-31 A #131 Dublin Jerome (2-5) D1 R2, pick: L by 12 (27%), perf. rating 152
09/04 L 44-7 H #15 Big Walnut (7-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 35 (3%), perf. rating 117
09/11 L 21-20 A #83 Canal Winchester (4-3) D2 R7, pick: L by 11 (26%), perf. rating 142
09/18 W 34-28 H #186 Teays Valley (1-6) D2 R7, pick: W by 10 (73%), perf. rating 132
09/25 W 41-7 H #499 Logan (1-6) D2 R7, pick: W by 41 (99%), perf. rating 129
10/02 W 26-7 A #160 Groveport Madison (5-2) D1 R3, pick: L by 3 (42%), perf. rating 159
10/09 A #271 Lancaster (2-5) D1 R3, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/16 H #311 Newark (3-4) D1 R3, pick: W by 28 (97%)
10/23 A #65 Pickerington Central (4-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 9 (28%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
15.85 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#9 seed in R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
96% (bubble if 5-5), 29% home (likely needs 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 15.90 (10.80-22.75) 98% in, 31% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Pickerington Central (4-3) 30%
Lose: 13.40 ( 9.60-19.10) 73% in, 4% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Olentangy Berlin (5-2) 39%
Based on eventual number of wins
(28%) 7W: 19.70 (18.95-22.75) 100% in, 96% home, proj. #7 (#5-#10), Pickerington Central (4-3) 26%
(63%) 6W: 15.85 (14.55-19.10) 99% in, 3% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Pickerington Central (4-3) 32%
( 8%) 5W: 13.35 (10.80-15.95) 64% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Olentangy Berlin (5-2) 47%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(28%) WWW: 19.70 (18.95-22.75) 100% in, 96% home, proj. #7 (#5-#10), Pickerington Central (4-3) 26%
(62%) WWL: 15.85 (14.55-18.45) 99% in, 3% home, proj. #10 (#8-out), Pickerington Central (4-3) 32%
( 5%) LWL: 13.40 (12.05-15.95) 73% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Olentangy Berlin (5-2) 47%
( 3%) WLL: 12.75 (10.80-15.35) 46% in, proj. out (#10-out), Olentangy Berlin (5-2) 45%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 138.2, #108, D1 #42), 96% (bubble if 5-5), 29% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 6 (3-3, 133.4, #130, D1 #48), 63% (bubble if 5-5), 13% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. #11 at 5-5
Week 5 (2-3, 133.7, #128, D1 #45), 65% (bubble if 5-5), 20% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 4 (1-3, 133.3, #125, D1 #42), 55% (bubble if 5-5), 15% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 3 (1-2, 127.9, #160, D1 #47), 55% (bubble if 5-5), 22% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 2 (1-1, 126.2, #175, D1 #50), 38% (bubble if 5-5), 13% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 119.0, #223, D1 #59), 23% (bubble if 5-5), 7% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 115.6, #239, D1 #62), 24% (bubble if 4-6), 8% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 113.0