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Rankings
#62 of 80 in Division 1
#15 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #39 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #52 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #40 Whitmer (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 33 (7%)
08/28 A #136 Dublin Jerome (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 19 (17%)
09/04 H #18 Big Walnut (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 37 (2%)
09/11 A #75 Canal Winchester (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 27 (5%)
09/18 H #173 Teays Valley (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 7 (33%)
09/25 H #507 Logan (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/02 A #90 Groveport Madison (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 25 (5%)
10/09 A #244 Lancaster (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 2 (44%)
10/16 H #184 Newark (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 6 (35%)
10/23 A #26 Pickerington Central (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 36 (1%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
6.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
24% (bubble if 4-6), 8% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.35 ( 1.85-40.50) 67% in, 38% home, 12% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 18%
Lose: 5.05 ( 0.00-36.60) 21% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 30.65 (24.55-36.60) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 92%
( 1%) 8W: 26.40 (18.85-32.95) 100% home, 56% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 56%
( 3%) 7W: 21.40 (15.25-28.95) 99% in, 89% home, 13% bye, proj. #6 (#2-out), bye 13%
( 6%) 6W: 17.20 (11.15-26.20) 98% in, 49% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Gahanna Lincoln (0-0) 8%
(10%) 5W: 13.15 ( 6.90-21.00) 79% in, 10% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 10%
(15%) 4W: 9.45 ( 4.35-17.75) 35% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 10%
(20%) 3W: 6.15 ( 2.45-14.75) 4% in, proj. out (#9-out), Pickerington North (0-0) 12%
(22%) 2W: 3.15 ( 1.25-10.70) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(18%) 1W: 1.15 ( 0.60- 6.45) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 5%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Groveport Madison (0-0) 9%
Worthington Kilbourne (0-0) 7%
Upper Arlington (0-0) 7%
Olentangy Berlin (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Olentangy Orange (0-0) 17%
Pickerington North (0-0) 12%
Pickerington Central (0-0) 12%
Olentangy Liberty (0-0) 11%
Upper Arlington (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 115.7, #239, D1 #62), 24% (bubble if 4-6), 8% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 113.0