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Rankings
#62 of 80 in Division 1
#15 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #39 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #52 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #40 Whitmer (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 33 (7%)
08/28 A #136 Dublin Jerome (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 19 (17%)
09/04 H #18 Big Walnut (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 37 (2%)
09/11 A #75 Canal Winchester (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 27 (5%)
09/18 H #173 Teays Valley (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 7 (33%)
09/25 H #507 Logan (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/02 A #90 Groveport Madison (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 25 (5%)
10/09 A #244 Lancaster (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 2 (44%)
10/16 H #184 Newark (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 6 (35%)
10/23 A #26 Pickerington Central (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 36 (1%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
6.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
24% (bubble if 4-6), 8% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.60 ( 2.40-39.60) 68% in, 36% home, 11% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 16%
Lose: 4.95 ( 0.00-35.10) 21% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 30.55 (22.15-36.55) 100% home, 94% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 94%
( 1%) 8W: 25.80 (19.70-32.00) 100% in, 99% home, 54% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 54%
( 3%) 7W: 21.12 (15.10-27.15) 100% in, 85% home, 12% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#12), bye 12%
( 6%) 6W: 17.00 (10.95-23.60) 97% in, 48% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 10%
(10%) 5W: 13.22 ( 6.75-20.10) 80% in, 10% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 10%
(15%) 4W: 9.40 ( 4.35-17.85) 34% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 13%
(19%) 3W: 6.15 ( 2.45-12.60) 4% in, proj. out (#9-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 18%
(22%) 2W: 3.15 ( 1.25-11.70) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(19%) 1W: 1.15 ( 0.60- 6.30) out, proj. out
( 5%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Groveport Madison (0-0) 10%
Worthington Kilbourne (0-0) 7%
Westerville South (0-0) 7%
Gahanna Lincoln (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Olentangy Orange (0-0) 21%
Pickerington North (0-0) 13%
Pickerington Central (0-0) 11%
Upper Arlington (0-0) 11%
Olentangy Liberty (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 115.6, #239, D1 #62), 24% (bubble if 4-6), 8% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 113.0