Region 3 home page
Region 3 projections
Region 3 playoff probabilities
Region 3 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 3 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#65 of 72 in Division 1
#17 of 18 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #52 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #64 in D1 (-492 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 28-20 H #258 Dublin Scioto (3-1) D2 R7, pick: W by 23 (85%), perf. rating 101
08/29 L 45-0 H #106 Dublin Jerome (3-1) D1 R2, pick: L by 22 (13%), perf. rating 75
09/05 L 50-0 A #15 Upper Arlington (4-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 43 (1%), perf. rating 110
09/12 L 55-30 H #54 Canal Winchester (4-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 33 (2%), perf. rating 111
09/19 A #135 Teays Valley (3-1) D2 R7, pick: L by 27 (5%)
09/26 A #488 Logan (0-4) D2 R7, pick: W by 22 (92%)
10/03 H #130 Groveport Madison (1-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 25 (5%)
10/10 H #269 Lancaster (1-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 5 (37%)
10/17 A #278 Newark (2-2) D1 R3, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/24 H #25 Pickerington Central (3-1) D1 R3, pick: L by 40 (1%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
3.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
4% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.30 ( 3.00-16.15) 33% in, 3% home, proj. out (#7-out), Olentangy (3-1) 16%
Lose: 2.50 ( 0.00-14.45) 2% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Olentangy (3-1) 19%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 4W: 9.15 ( 8.10-13.10) 62% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Olentangy (3-1) 20%
(18%) 3W: 5.55 ( 4.90-10.65) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(32%) 2W: 3.00 ( 2.50- 6.95) out, proj. out
(41%) 1W: 0.60 ( 0.60- 5.70) out, proj. out
( 5%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWLWWL: 9.20 ( 9.15-11.10) 65% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Olentangy (3-1) 21%
( 2%) LWWWWL: 8.15 ( 8.10- 9.95) 54% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Olentangy (3-1) 20%
( 1%) LWWWLL: 5.65 ( 5.05- 7.55) 2% in, proj. out (#12-out), Olentangy (3-1) 50%
(13%) LWLWWL: 5.55 ( 5.55- 6.85) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Olentangy (3-1) 50%
(12%) LWLLWL: 3.00 ( 3.00- 4.35) out
(16%) LWLWLL: 2.50 ( 2.50- 4.45) out
(39%) LWLLLL: 0.60 ( 0.60- 1.90) out
( 5%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 106.0, #322, D1 #65), 4% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (0-3, 103.7, #353, D1 #65), 9% (likely needs 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 105.9, #321, D1 #64), 17% (bubble if 3-7), 2% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 110.7, #285, D1 #64), 21% (bubble if 4-6), 6% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 123.1, #190, D1 #56), 54% (bubble if 4-6), 25% home (maybe if 6-4), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 125.7