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Rankings
#29 of 100 in Division 2
#9 of 25 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #32 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #42 in D2 (-54 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 28-27 A #166 Grove City (2-1) D1 R2, pick: W by 6 (61%), perf. rating 127
08/28 W 35-28 A #97 New Albany (2-1) D2 R7, pick: L by 3 (43%), perf. rating 151
09/04 L 56-35 H #41 Worthington Kilbourne (3-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 2 (54%), perf. rating 124
09/11 H #160 Reynoldsburg (1-2) D1 R3, pick: W by 11 (74%)
09/18 A #86 Pickerington Central (0-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 7 (33%)
09/25 H #313 Newark (2-1) D1 R3, pick: W by 28 (96%)
10/02 A #130 Teays Valley (1-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/09 H #500 Logan (1-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 41 (99%)
10/16 A #266 Lancaster (0-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 21 (92%)
10/23 H #162 Groveport Madison (2-1) D1 R3, pick: W by 11 (77%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
17.25 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#7 seed in R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
76% (bubble if 5-5), 49% home (maybe if 6-4), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 20.45 ( 6.10-28.05) 88% in, 61% home, 10% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), bye 11%
Lose: 12.75 ( 3.05-23.55) 41% in, 13% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Walnut Ridge (0-3) 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
(18%) 8W: 25.55 (23.30-28.05) 100% home, 37% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 37%
(25%) 7W: 21.45 (18.55-25.45) 100% in, 94% home, 3% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#12), Walnut Ridge (0-3) 12%
(24%) 6W: 17.25 (14.20-22.40) 98% in, 30% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Walnut Ridge (0-3) 13%
(18%) 5W: 13.60 (10.80-19.20) 53% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), Ashland (3-0) 13%
(10%) 4W: 10.55 ( 7.15-15.05) 4% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 4%) 3W: 8.00 ( 4.80-12.20) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 1%) 2W: 5.50 ( 3.55- 7.50) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(18%) WWWWWWW: 25.55 (23.30-28.05) 100% home, 37% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 37%
(13%) WLWWWWW: 21.55 (19.45-24.85) 100% in, 97% home, 4% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#11), New Albany (2-1) 11%
( 6%) WWWLWWW: 21.10 (18.55-24.75) 100% in, 85% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#12), Walnut Ridge (0-3) 16%
(10%) WLWLWWW: 17.25 (14.65-19.85) 97% in, 22% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Teays Valley (1-2) 16%
( 4%) WLWWWWL: 16.80 (14.75-20.70) 99% in, 34% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Walnut Ridge (0-3) 15%
( 4%) LLWLWWW: 13.40 (10.80-16.60) 44% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Teays Valley (1-2) 15%
( 6%) WLWLWWL: 13.10 (11.10-16.90) 40% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Teays Valley (1-2) 14%
( 1%) LLLLWLL: 5.50 ( 3.55- 6.80) out
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (1-2, 136.7, #107, D2 #29), 76% (bubble if 5-5), 49% home (maybe if 6-4), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 146.0, #69, D2 #22), 88% (bubble if 5-5), 68% home (maybe if 6-4), 30% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 1 (0-1, 142.2, #86, D2 #27), 69% (bubble if 5-5), 46% home (maybe if 7-3), 16% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 144.8, #75, D2 #22), 74% (bubble if 5-5), 56% home (maybe if 7-3), 30% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Last season 147.3