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Rankings
#24 of 100 in Division 2
#7 of 25 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #24 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #24 in D2 (+88 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 28-27 A #127 Grove City (4-2) D1 R2, pick: W by 6 (61%), perf. rating 135
08/28 W 35-28 A #53 New Albany (5-1) D2 R7, pick: L by 3 (43%), perf. rating 164
09/04 L 56-35 H #38 Worthington Kilbourne (6-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 2 (54%), perf. rating 125
09/11 W 21-20 H #130 Reynoldsburg (3-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 11 (74%), perf. rating 133
09/18 L 24-21 A #70 Pickerington Central (3-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 5 (38%), perf. rating 143
09/25 W 44-14 H #311 Newark (3-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 29 (97%), perf. rating 150
10/02 A #181 Teays Valley (1-5) D2 R7, pick: W by 14 (82%)
10/09 H #507 Logan (1-5) D2 R7, pick: W by 44 (99%)
10/16 A #248 Lancaster (1-5) D1 R3, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/23 H #126 Groveport Madison (5-1) D1 R3, pick: W by 9 (72%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
22.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#6 seed in R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 74% home (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 22.10 (13.05-25.40) 99% in, 81% home, 2% bye, proj. #6 (#4-out), Hoover (4-2) 16%
Lose: 19.05 (10.65-22.25) 96% in, 43% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Hamilton Township (4-2) 20%
Based on eventual number of wins
(56%) 7W: 22.10 (20.80-25.40) 100% in, 99% home, 2% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#9), Hoover (4-2) 18%
(32%) 6W: 18.00 (16.05-22.25) 100% in, 53% home, proj. #8 (#5-#12), Hamilton Township (4-2) 22%
(10%) 5W: 15.50 (13.50-19.80) 97% in, 6% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Whitehall-Yearling (4-2) 22%
( 2%) 4W: 13.05 (11.15-16.70) 68% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), New Albany (5-1) 25%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(56%) WWWW: 22.10 (20.80-25.40) 100% in, 99% home, 2% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#9), Hoover (4-2) 18%
( 9%) LWWW: 19.70 (19.00-22.25) 100% in, 80% home, proj. #8 (#5-#12), Hamilton Township (4-2) 21%
( 3%) WWLW: 19.60 (17.65-22.20) 100% in, 84% home, proj. #7 (#5-#10), Hamilton Township (4-2) 20%
(20%) WWWL: 17.40 (16.05-20.60) 100% in, 35% home, proj. #9 (#5-#12), Hamilton Township (4-2) 22%
( 6%) LWWL: 15.00 (13.65-17.50) 97% in, 3% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Hamilton Township (4-2) 22%
( 2%) WWLL: 14.85 (13.50-17.40) 98% in, 2% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Hamilton Township (4-2) 22%
( 2%) LWLL: 12.45 (11.15-15.00) 66% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), New Albany (5-1) 26%
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (3-3, 141.2, #86, D2 #24), likely in, 74% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 5 (2-3, 139.5, #94, D2 #27), 96% (bubble if 4-6), 72% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye, proj. #7 at 6-4
Week 4 (2-2, 140.3, #96, D2 #29), 95% (bubble if 4-6), 75% home (maybe if 6-4), 17% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 3 (1-2, 136.7, #107, D2 #29), 76% (bubble if 5-5), 49% home (maybe if 6-4), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 146.0, #69, D2 #22), 88% (bubble if 5-5), 68% home (maybe if 6-4), 30% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 1 (0-1, 142.2, #86, D2 #27), 69% (bubble if 5-5), 46% home (maybe if 7-3), 16% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 144.8, #75, D2 #22), 74% (bubble if 5-5), 56% home (maybe if 7-3), 30% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Last season 147.3