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Rankings
#48 of 105 in Division 5
#19 of 25 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #13 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #46 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #304 North Union (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 7 (37%)
08/28 H #660 Triad (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 42 (98%)
09/04 H #418 Whitehall-Yearling (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 10 (71%)
09/11 H #354 River Valley (Caled.) (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/18 A #188 Clear Fork (0-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 23 (8%)
09/25 H #134 Ontario (0-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/02 A #108 Galion (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/09 A #295 Marion Harding (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 9 (28%)
10/16 H #27 Shelby (0-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 40 (1%)
10/23 A #403 Highland (Marengo) (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 3 (58%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
5.60 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
12% (bubble if 7-3), 5% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.05 ( 0.80-33.00) 26% in, 11% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 12%
Lose: 3.55 ( 0.00-26.65) 4% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Bluffton (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 25.42 (19.60-33.00) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 92%
( 2%) 9W: 20.75 (15.25-27.95) 100% in, 91% home, 37% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 37%
( 4%) 8W: 16.75 (11.05-24.05) 92% in, 44% home, 5% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Bluffton (0-0) 8%
( 7%) 7W: 13.35 ( 7.70-21.45) 54% in, 8% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#2-out), Margaretta (0-0) 9%
(11%) 6W: 10.40 ( 5.30-18.00) 15% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Margaretta (0-0) 9%
(14%) 5W: 7.65 ( 3.25-15.40) 2% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
(17%) 4W: 5.60 ( 1.90-12.90) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(17%) 3W: 3.65 ( 1.45- 9.90) out, proj. out
(15%) 2W: 1.95 ( 0.80- 7.75) out, proj. out
(10%) 1W: 0.70 ( 0.35- 5.20) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Bluffton (0-0) 8%
Margaretta (0-0) 7%
Eastwood (0-0) 6%
Oak Harbor (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty-Benton (0-0) 13%
Triway (0-0) 10%
Coldwater (0-0) 9%
Eastwood (0-0) 8%
Galion (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 128.1, #162, D5 #14), 76% (bubble if 7-3), 57% home (maybe if 8-2), 33% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Last season 100.1