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Rankings
#2 of 102 in Division 4
#1 of 25 in Region 14
Strength of schedule #15 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #3 in D4 (+450 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 54-0 H #317 Madison (Mansfield) (3-5) D3 R10, pick: W by 42 (97%), perf. rating 168
08/28 W 48-6 A #355 Lexington (1-7) D3 R10, pick: W by 30 (93%), perf. rating 166
09/04 W 27-7 H #138 Bellevue (5-3) D4 R14, pick: W by 28 (94%), perf. rating 159
09/11 W 31-14 A #274 Galion (4-4) D5 R18, pick: W by 34 (98%), perf. rating 140
09/18 W 47-6 A #326 Highland (Marengo) (3-5) D4 R14, pick: W by 40 (99%), perf. rating 168
09/25 W 54-0 H #480 River Valley (Caled.) (0-8) D4 R14, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 144
10/02 W 28-21 A #134 Clear Fork (6-2) D4 R14, pick: W by 22 (92%), perf. rating 145
10/09 W 41-7 H #119 Ontario (7-1) D3 R10, pick: W by 19 (89%), perf. rating 184
10/16 A #378 Pleasant (2-6) D5 R18, pick: W by 41 (99%)
10/23 H #313 Marion Harding (5-3) D2 R7, pick: W by 38 (99%)
Regular season projections
10-0 record
28.30 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#1 seed in R14 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 28.30 (23.55-29.05) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
Lose: 26.55 (21.85-27.65) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
Based on eventual number of wins
(98%) 10W: 28.30 (26.70-29.05) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
( 2%) 9W: 25.55 (23.55-27.65) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(98%) WW: 28.30 (26.70-29.05) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
( 1%) WL: 24.70 (23.55-25.80) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (7-0, 155.5, #41, D4 #2), appears locked in and home bye, proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 6 (6-0, 157.9, #39, D4 #2), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 5 (5-0, 161.1, #34, D4 #2), appears locked in and home, 98% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 4 (4-0, 161.2, #31, D4 #2), appears locked in and likely home, likely bye, proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 3 (3-0, 170.3, #20, D4 #1), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 2 (2-0, 169.0, #20, D4 #1), appears locked in and likely home, 98% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 1 (1-0, 161.2, #34, D4 #2), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 6-4), 89% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 0 (0-0, 160.8, #27, D4 #1), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 6-4), 85% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 9-1
Last season 165.3