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Rankings
#3 of 105 in Division 4
#1 of 25 in Region 14
Strength of schedule #18 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #2 in D4 (+605 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 56-14 A #338 Madison (Mansfield) (2-2) D3 R10, pick: W by 30 (92%), perf. rating 169
08/29 W 37-13 H #133 Lexington (3-1) D3 R10, pick: W by 16 (79%), perf. rating 169
09/05 W 49-6 A #256 Bellevue (3-1) D4 R14, pick: W by 33 (97%), perf. rating 179
09/12 W 45-34 H #52 Galion (3-1) D4 R14, pick: W by 16 (83%), perf. rating 165
09/19 H #392 Highland (Marengo) (2-2) D4 R15, pick: W by 45 (99%)
09/26 A #375 River Valley (Caled.) (2-2) D4 R14, pick: W by 42 (99%)
10/03 H #152 Clear Fork (3-1) D4 R14, pick: W by 28 (96%)
10/10 A #140 Ontario (2-2) D3 R10, pick: W by 25 (95%)
10/17 H #398 Pleasant (1-3) D5 R20, pick: W by 45 (99%)
10/24 A #355 Marion Harding (1-3) D2 R7, pick: W by 41 (99%)
Regular season projections
10-0 record
30.05 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#1 seed in R14 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, likely bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 29.85 (19.20-34.30) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
Lose: 27.30 (16.45-30.60) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
Based on eventual number of wins
(87%) 10W: 30.05 (26.70-34.30) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(12%) 9W: 26.50 (22.70-32.10) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 1%) 8W: 23.10 (19.20-29.35) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(87%) WWWWWW: 30.05 (26.70-34.30) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
( 5%) WWWLWW: 26.20 (23.05-28.95) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 3%) WWLWWW: 25.95 (22.70-29.00) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 162.6, #28, D4 #3), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 3 (3-0, 162.6, #29, D4 #3), appears locked in and likely home, 98% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 2 (2-0, 160.9, #32, D4 #3), likely in and likely home, 98% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 1 (1-0, 152.5, #52, D4 #3), 98% (bubble if 5-5), 93% home (maybe if 6-4), 83% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 146.8, #73, D4 #6), 95% (bubble if 5-5), 88% home (maybe if 6-4), 70% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Last season 149.3