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Rankings
#16 of 102 in Division 3
#3 of 25 in Region 10
Strength of schedule #63 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #10 in D3 (+236 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 35-7 H #355 Lexington (1-7) D3 R10, pick: L by 4 (43%), perf. rating 141
08/28 W 58-0 H #571 Norwalk (0-8) D3 R10, pick: W by 43 (98%), perf. rating 127
09/04 W 49-28 A #149 Tiffin Columbian (6-2) D3 R10, pick: W by 19 (86%), perf. rating 163
09/11 W 17-7 H #134 Clear Fork (6-2) D4 R14, pick: W by 8 (68%), perf. rating 145
09/18 W 46-28 A #274 Galion (4-4) D5 R18, pick: W by 17 (86%), perf. rating 142
09/25 W 42-28 A #378 Pleasant (2-6) D5 R18, pick: W by 36 (99%), perf. rating 120
10/02 W 27-12 H #313 Marion Harding (5-3) D2 R7, pick: W by 31 (98%), perf. rating 129
10/09 L 41-7 A #36 Shelby (8-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 19 (11%), perf. rating 109
10/16 H #326 Highland (Marengo) (3-5) D4 R14, pick: W by 28 (97%)
10/23 A #480 River Valley (Caled.) (0-8) D4 R14, pick: W by 37 (99%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
21.25 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#2 seed in R10 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, likely bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 21.25 (19.65-23.50) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#4), bye 100%
Lose: 18.90 (17.85-20.20) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#5), bye 99%
Based on eventual number of wins
(96%) 9W: 21.25 (20.15-23.50) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#4), bye 100%
( 4%) 8W: 19.05 (17.85-21.80) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#5), bye 99%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(96%) WW: 21.25 (20.15-23.50) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#4), bye 100%
( 1%) WL: 20.38 (19.65-21.80) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#4), bye 100%
( 3%) LW: 18.90 (17.85-20.20) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#5), bye 99%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (7-0, 138.1, #111, D3 #16), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 6 (6-0, 140.2, #91, D3 #12), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 5 (5-0, 145.3, #78, D3 #8), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 142.6, #82, D3 #7), appears locked in and likely home, 88% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 147.7, #65, D3 #6), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 6-4), 74% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 145.0, #74, D3 #7), 98% (bubble if 5-5), 93% home (maybe if 6-4), 73% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 148.3, #63, D3 #6), likely in, 94% home (maybe if 6-4), 72% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 133.0, #134, D3 #21), 79% (bubble if 5-5), 62% home (maybe if 6-4), 33% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 7-3
Last season 128.9