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Rankings
#12 of 102 in Division 4
#5 of 25 in Region 14
Strength of schedule #15 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #9 in D4 (+245 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 28-14 A #210 Granville (4-2) D3 R11, pick: L by 7 (37%), perf. rating 144
08/28 W 38-12 A #286 Zanesville (4-2) D3 R11, pick: W by 36 (96%), perf. rating 152
09/04 W 17-7 H #316 Lexington (1-5) D3 R10, pick: W by 18 (84%), perf. rating 120
09/11 L 17-7 A #91 Ontario (6-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 8 (32%), perf. rating 127
09/18 W 42-0 H #371 Pleasant (2-4) D5 R18, pick: W by 30 (97%), perf. rating 160
09/25 W 21-7 A #333 Marion Harding (4-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 27 (96%), perf. rating 127
10/02 H #39 Shelby (6-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 22 (8%)
10/09 A #329 Highland (Marengo) (2-4) D4 R14, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/16 H #510 River Valley (Caled.) (0-6) D4 R14, pick: W by 40 (99%)
10/23 H #252 Galion (2-4) D5 R18, pick: W by 20 (91%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
19.95 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#4 seed in R14 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 60% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 25.00 (20.45-27.30) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
Lose: 19.85 (12.90-23.05) 100% in, 99% home, 56% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#9), bye 56%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 9W: 25.05 (22.05-27.30) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(77%) 8W: 19.95 (17.30-25.50) 100% home, 67% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#7), bye 67%
(14%) 7W: 17.50 (14.70-21.25) 100% home, 7% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#8), Rossford (3-3) 17%
( 2%) 6W: 15.05 (12.90-18.75) 100% in, 99% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#9), Benjamin Logan (3-3) 19%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 7%) WWWW: 25.05 (22.05-27.30) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(76%) LWWW: 19.95 (17.30-23.05) 100% home, 67% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#7), bye 67%
( 5%) LLWW: 17.70 (15.65-20.25) 100% home, 10% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#8), Rossford (3-3) 19%
( 9%) LWWL: 17.15 (14.70-19.80) 100% home, 3% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#7), Highland (Marengo) (2-4) 22%
( 1%) LLWL: 14.70 (12.90-17.85) 100% in, 99% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#9), Rossford (3-3) 21%
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (5-1, 132.9, #132, D4 #12), appears locked in and likely home, 60% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 5 (4-1, 135.9, #114, D4 #12), appears locked in and likely home, 32% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 4 (3-1, 132.3, #137, D4 #13), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 5-5), 39% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 141.9, #81, D4 #6), appears locked in and likely home, 79% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 134.8, #121, D4 #12), likely in, 90% home (maybe if 5-5), 38% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 132.9, #135, D4 #12), 91% (bubble if 4-6), 71% home (maybe if 6-4), 29% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 123.4, #188, D4 #19), 62% (bubble if 5-5), 40% home (maybe if 6-4), 15% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #11 at 5-5
Last season 125.1